Was anyone here touting Oliver as a potential impact D prior to the draft?
What kind of lame logic is that? Was anyone pumping up Wood the third rounder? They're both no Michael Rasmussen, sadly.
Was anyone here touting Oliver as a potential impact D prior to the draft?
What kind of lame logic is that? Was anyone pumping up Wood the third rounder? They're both no Michael Rasmussen, sadly.
If anyone else had selected Oliver were there be anyone here clamouring to trade AHL all star Wood for him? When Oliver accomplishes something on the ice I will gladly re-examine my list. I think Wood actually earned the ranking.
I nailed the Rasmussen draft ranking btw. You're welcome.
That's not how trades are weighed and valued. David Rundblad was also an AHL All Star. It's really nothing to sing about. But okay. POJ can't close whatever gap you feel exists in three years? You know, despite his raw tools being better than Wood right now, except for the shot and the physical development. Really uhh... interesting argument.
what did Oliver accomplish this year? I'm not arguing he doesn't have good attributes. I'm saying it's premature to put him ahead of Wood today.
It isn't reasonable to compare a 21 year old to an 18 year old that just got drafted straight up. You have to factor in potential, likelihood of the player to reach it, and where they are at developmentally. We do this easily with top 10 consensus picks but once you get out of the HF hotness, it takes some reflection.
POJ is way ahead of Wood at the same age. That's why he went in the first round and the Coyotes scouts were passionate about him. That makes him the 'better' prospect to me. Same argument I had with Perlini vs Duclair. Wood's AHL season was very inconsistent. When things got tough for the Roadrunners, he faded. Prior to that, he didn't do much with Brampton or play on the big stage with Canada, so he hasn't accomplished all that much to me. He'll absolutely make the roster first and might even flash a bit with that shot, but POJ is the better prospect in my eyes, and I'm not even particularly enthusiastic about the use of that pick.
Teams (and fans) value things like contract status, age, handedness, role etc... when evaluating a trade so invoking "Would you trade X for Y" as a defense of Wood is really nonsensical and you know that.
The question should be: "In 3 years time, do you feel POJ can be a better player than Wood is now?" If the answer is yes, he's the better prospect. If you're unsure, by all means vote no.
It was a mediocre draft and we reached on a player. If you want to anoint him a top 5 ranking based on that. Go to town. If he had been taken at 35 instead would he still be a top 5 prospect?
I don't think POJ was much of a reach. Button had him going to TO until Liljegren fell and there was plenty of speculation that POJ was their guy. Bobby Mac had him at 33 but this draft was so all over the place with no consensus that I bet some of his ten teams had him ten or fifteen spots higher and some had him ten or fifteen spots lower.
Nobody is 'anointing' anyone here. You continue to drone on about trade examples when that's clearly not appropriate, as well as 'lists', as if POJ being ten slots too high or low has any relevance in a comparison to a player that's three years his senior. You responded with a whole lot of feels and little logic, just like with Rasmussen. It gets really old. We may as well rank guys based on how close they are to the NHL, how tall they are, or how many AHL points they've scored because your argument for your list, as presented, has no internal consistency.
If we use lanky's "AHL is the best" method, Fischer should clearly be #1 here, having accomplished the most in the highest league of anyone on the list. Wood would be #2. That doesn't make any sense because we actually have to judge the player for who they are, who they might become, and at what rate they are progressing. The only tire-pumping going on here is the narrow focus on one AHL season to the exclusion of all else. If we just judge prospects for how strong they are as a prospect, that allows for players that are younger/more talented/not in the show to be ranked more appropriately. If we drafted Patrick, you'd have no problem rating him high, yet that same logic suddenly becomes a mental roadblock when applied to POJ because the gap isn't as obvious.
Nuance is hard I guess.
Joseph and I don't think Wood is close, again. People are getting a player that's 3 years older and thus closer mixed up with a guy that's just a straight up better prospect.
Nobody is 'anointing' anyone here. You continue to drone on about trade examples when that's clearly not appropriate, as well as 'lists', as if POJ being ten slots too high or low has any relevance in a comparison to a player that's three years his senior. You responded with a whole lot of feels and little logic, just like with Rasmussen. It gets really old. We may as well rank guys based on how close they are to the NHL, how tall they are, or how many AHL points they've scored because your argument for your list, as presented, has no internal consistency.
If we use lanky's "AHL is the best" method, Fischer should clearly be #1 here, having accomplished the most in the highest league of anyone on the list. Wood would be #2. That doesn't make any sense because we actually have to judge the player for who they are, who they might become, and at what rate they are progressing. The only tire-pumping going on here is the narrow focus on one AHL season to the exclusion of all else. If we just judge prospects for how strong they are as a prospect, that allows for players that are younger/more talented/not in the show to be ranked more appropriately. If we drafted Patrick, you'd have no problem rating him high, yet that same logic suddenly becomes a mental roadblock when applied to POJ because the gap isn't as obvious.
Nuance is hard I guess.
I think it was a touch of a reach. Mainly because I had several players who went after Joseph well ahead on my draft list. That's my opinion. I don't doubt that some would argue. I just don't recall anyone here really pumping Joseph's tires for our pick at 23 and i put my list out there and Joseph's name wasn't on it. He was a skinny puck moving D that will take 3-5 years before he arrives. A project pick. In fact he may be out of waiver exemption status prior to becoming a regular NHL D. I'd be lieing if I painted a rosier picture than that because that's what my draft list reflected.
I don't think it's unreasonable to have a wait and see perspective with Joseph at this point in time. I hope I'm wrong here.
DesRochersApparently giving me an actual opinion on Joseph's play is also hard. what is it about his play that sets him apart?
years ago I used to rate our prospects for Hockey Prospects.
I remember we took Patrick Deslaurier at 14 OV in 1998. He was very underwhelming. Mediocre stats. I kept ranking him ahead of another netminder who we took two years earlier in the 6th round and I even commented that the goalie we selected in the sixth round had the numbers that we wish the guy we took in the first would have. Deslauriers ended up playing 11 games in the show. The other goalie? That was Robert Esche.
I'm sure our scouts were patting themselves on the back for the Deslaurier selection. Deslaurier didn't earn the rankings I had given him. Esche did. I was wrong then.
Btw I was right on Rasmussen. He went in top 10 as I had said he would. Should I apologize for being right? You might not like my opinion. You may not agree with it. But I was correct on how that would play out. I was also correct Chychrun would drop like a stone on his draft day. I would like to think I know a bit about what the heck I'm talking about. Some calls are better than others but I don't apologize for making them.
I remember we took Patrick Deslaurier at 14 OV in 1998. He was very underwhelming. Mediocre stats. I kept ranking him ahead of another netminder who we took two years earlier in the 6th round and I even commented that the goalie we selected in the sixth round had the numbers that we wish the guy we took in the first would have. Deslauriers ended up playing 11 games in the show. The other goalie? That was Robert Esche.
I'm sure our scouts were patting themselves on the back for the Deslaurier selection. Deslaurier didn't earn the rankings I had given him. Esche did. I was wrong then.
Btw I was right on Rasmussen. He went in top 10 as I had said he would. Should I apologize for being right? You might not like my opinion. You may not agree with it. But I was correct on how that would play out. I was also correct Chychrun would drop like a stone on his draft day. I would like to think I know a bit about what the heck I'm talking about. Some calls are better than others but I don't apologize for making them.
There's a reason talent correlates with round taken for skaters, and why POJ went high. He is a much better talent than Wood was at the same age, and I don't see how he is any riskier either. That makes him the better prospect to me.
The emphasis on at that age, as players do get older and keep developing to some direction, changing their potential and projection. This is only more true with a guy who is 6'5. Wood has had 3 pretty impressive developmental seasons after his draft year that clearly raise his stock. He would easily be a 2nd rounder if that draft was remade right now. Possibly an early 2nd rounder, where POJ was expected to go.
I have no idea which one is the "better prospect", but your argument there is kinda foolish.
Was anyone here touting Oliver as a potential impact D prior to the draft? I think there's a lot of Monday morning quarterbacking based on where we picked Oliver. Not for anything he did on the ice.
Wood was an all-star in the AHL last season.
The emphasis on at that age, as players do get older and keep developing to some direction, changing their potential and projection. This is only more true with a guy who is 6'5. Wood has had 3 pretty impressive developmental seasons after his draft year that clearly raise his stock. He would easily be a 2nd rounder if that draft was remade right now. Possibly an early 2nd rounder, where POJ was expected to go.
I have no idea which one is the "better prospect", but your argument there is kinda foolish.
You can't just gift a player three seasons in a comparison without also considering where the other player will be after a similar amount of time.
I think Joseph has more tools now than Wood does, even after 3 seasons. That makes him the better prospect to me.
If you're just going to use hindsight to gift guys higher spots than they deserve then why even bother to include recent draftees in the rankings? If we're just going to blindly follow what they've done at the AHL level (or higher), you may as well rank Fischer #1 over Keller and Strome. If you actually bother with looking at the player relative to their age and developmental curve, we can start to rank guys properly.
XX, if you actually were pimping Joseph's (my bad by calling him Oliver rt) tires prior to the draft then I could see placing him in Top 5. Reality is though nobody here was touting this guy as anything but a project. Those that had him higher ranked weren't here saying this guy is going to be for sure a top 4D when we drafted him. Go back to the outrage when we took Conner Murphy. Who had Murphy in their top 20? Who was saying immediately after his selection that this was a really good pick and he would play in NHL?
Joseph pick it was crickets here. We cut the scouts slack because of the other deals that were made.
Should we put Westerlund in top 5 now because we reached by about 20-30 slots to select him?
I form my rankings based on what I see. Come back at me with an opinion on a player for once.
As for the goalie question. Again mediocre draft. But the goalie in question went at 26. Your draft philosophy is to never ever ever take a goalie in the first round. That's legitimate but to me it's a preference, not a hard rule. My argument remains it depends on the draft and the goalie. On my list I had Ottinger ahead of Joseph. I don't apologize for that. i wasn't alone. I think given some of the names that were on the board that it would have been unlikely that i would have fully supported an Ottinger pick at 23 but I'm mad at myself for giving the organization a free pass on Joseph's selection. I also do think there is further analysis required on how early is too early to target a winger in the draft.