Blue Jays Discussion: Beyond the Braves.

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metafour

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Apr 6, 2008
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Presumably because the White Sox were purely scouting the stat line.

Exactly. They likely thought they were outsmarting everyone by identifying an underrated prospect who simply "knows how to pitch". Turns out they were simply buying a guy with average stuff and no standout pitch who for whatever reason was able to bully minor league hitters.
 

zeke

The Dube Abides
Mar 14, 2005
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Presumably because the White Sox were purely scouting the stat line.

iirc one of their head scouts was a recent recruit from our org and pushed hard for molina. pretty sure BA ranked him near the top of both systems before and after the trade too.
 

metafour

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Apr 6, 2008
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iirc one of their head scouts was a recent recruit from our org and pushed hard for molina. pretty sure BA ranked him near the top of both systems before and after the trade too.

It was Marco Paddy who was our Latin American director. Molina was like a fringe top 10 guy for us but did rank higher for Chicago simply because their system was garbage at the time. The point is that it was well known that his raw stuff never matched his video game numbers, which is likely what our own guys saw when they sold high on him.
 

Eyedea

The Legend Continues
Jan 29, 2012
27,489
3,295
Toronto, Ontario


Not sure if this was ever mentioned, but I remember Vlad having some type of leg kick in his swing. Seems like they're going the no stride route and channelling his inner Goldy/Cruz.
 

Diamond Joe Quimby

A$AP Joffrey
Aug 14, 2010
13,547
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Washington, DC
Nestor Molina is the ultimate example.

9.55 K/9, 1.16 BB/9, 2.64 FIP, 2.45 xFIP in A+
13.50 K/9, 0.82 BB/9, 0.68 FIP, 1.30 xFIP in five AA starts

The scouting report that entire time was a ~90 mph fastball with little movement and a changeup with no third pitch worth anything. He had a 3.51 FIP and 3.67 xFIP the year prior as well.

Molina was of course traded for Sergio Santos and immediately flopped. I remember a lot of our fans being salty that he wasn't getting much prospect love.

Molina has a good splitter and cutter, and has boosted his velocity his spring, reportedly into the 92-94 range.

That's when he was at Dunedin. His elbow essentially gave out on him, which you'd expect from a ~6"0, 180 lbs. former 3rd baseman who didn't exactly know how to pitch.

That is a hilarious trade though, as I figure both GM's knew there were red flags in the medicals for both, and decided to give a little middle finger to each other. Kenny Williams of course being the world's best used car salesman.
 

Suntouchable13

Registered User
Dec 20, 2003
43,317
18,589
Toronto, ON
Once Tulo and Donaldson get back, I'd roll with this:

Pillar
Travis (he has earned a shot to hit high in the lineup)
Donaldson
Morales
Bautista
Smoak
Tulo
Zeke
Maile

Or

Pillar
Donaldson
Morales
Bautista
Smoak
Tulo
Travis
Zeke
Maile
 

sabremike

Friend To All Giraffes And Lindy Ruff
Aug 30, 2010
22,826
34,340
Brewster, NY
Got my tixs for the 27th via SeatGeek for $9 each. Any tips on visiting the Skydome (yes, I know that's the old name. Rogers can go pound sand, it's the Skydome to me)? Concession prices, things that are worth getting price and quality wise ect? Also any stations where they give out promotional items (several parks feature a prize wheel where you sign up for a card they scan and you get to spin it)?
 

Lightsol

Registered User
Aug 2, 2005
5,006
2,887
After the 8th inning today, anyone who says the Blue Jays need to play more "small ball" to win needs to be punched in the mouth... over the Internet.

Travis is swinging a hot bat. Runners on 1st and 2nd with no outs. WHY THE **** DO YOU BUNT IN THIS SITUATION?
 

zeke

The Dube Abides
Mar 14, 2005
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because a bad 100pa by travis and a good 100pa for smoak shouldn't change our perspective on them too much?
 

zeke

The Dube Abides
Mar 14, 2005
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36,957
That's when he was at Dunedin. His elbow essentially gave out on him, which you'd expect from a ~6"0, 180 lbs. former 3rd baseman who didn't exactly know how to pitch.

That is a hilarious trade though, as I figure both GM's knew there were red flags in the medicals for both, and decided to give a little middle finger to each other. Kenny Williams of course being the world's best used car salesman.

yeah nestor had a bunch of pitches and decent enough velo to go along with impeccable command. but sometimes pitchers break.
 

zeke

The Dube Abides
Mar 14, 2005
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i love gibby but the bunt call tonight was infuriating, and maybhqve cost us the game.
 

Eyedea

The Legend Continues
Jan 29, 2012
27,489
3,295
Toronto, Ontario
because a bad 100pa by travis and a good 100pa for smoak shouldn't change our perspective on them too much?

Even if you want to use their last three seasons (~800pa each) as a breakdown you'd find out that their offensive contributions are exactly the same.

But okay, take away Smoak from the equation, why has Travis earned a shot to move up? Because he has started hitting doubles in May? (still can't walk)
 

ShaneFalco

Registered User
Jul 15, 2012
21,414
15,770
London, On
I think I'd replace Maile's bat with this:

51XM0Cpwe2L._SL1000_.jpg
 

doorman

Registered User
Nov 8, 2012
953
4
Thunder Bay
Got my tixs for the 27th via SeatGeek for $9 each. Any tips on visiting the Skydome (yes, I know that's the old name. Rogers can go pound sand, it's the Skydome to me)? Concession prices, things that are worth getting price and quality wise ect? Also any stations where they give out promotional items (several parks feature a prize wheel where you sign up for a card they scan and you get to spin it)?

At the rear CN Tower side of Skydome up the stairs by gates 1,2,3 there is an outside discounted merchandise area. Do NOT get a Grillicheese they're horrible. Buy the 710ml cans of beer that are only at certain stations as they're only $2 more then the 473ml cans. You can bring in any unopen non alcoholic beverage 600ml and the vendors on Front St charge $1 for water the ones on Bremner and closer charge $2.
 

Diamond Joe Quimby

A$AP Joffrey
Aug 14, 2010
13,547
2,996
Washington, DC
So...I stumbled out of bed this morning in a strange country, and woke up to a text message from my girlfriend that read:

Did you hear your man is leading the league in hits? ;)

The man she is referring to is Kevin Pillar, who is of course tied for the lead in hits in the AL with the incomparable Corey Dickerson and superstar Starlin Castro. (Yes, its still early). Her winky smiley is of course in reference to my tongue in cheek disdain for Kevin, centered around his adamantium chin and utter disregard for walks.

As I stumbled around my hotel room getting ready for work, I recalled something I had said two off-seasons ago:

Crazy prediction time; one of two things will happen in 2016 (1) Drew Hutchison goes full metal Arrieta, or (2) Kevin Pillar goes full metal Pollock

Crazy indeed. While Drew Hutchison continues to have a perpetual blank stare on his face, Kevin Pillar might actually be making my ridiculous prediction look somewhat based in reality. At the time, Kevin had just come off his age 26 season where he produced a .278/.314/.399 slash line, with a .310 wOBA, 93 wRC+, .121 ISO, and 16.6 defensive runs saved (good for 4.3 fWAR in '15). In Pollock's age 25/26 season (late birthday), he produced a .269/.322/.409 slash line, with a .321 wOBA, 98 wRC+, .140 ISO, and 18.5 defensive runs saved (good for 3.6 fWAR in '13).

Pollock of course went on to slash .311/.363/.498 from age 27-28, producing a wOBA of .371, wRC+ of 132, ISO of .186, with a 7.5% BB rate, 16.8 defensive runs saved and 9.8 fWAR over 960 PA's. Or otherwise known as all the awesome.

As of this morning, Pillar is slashing .313/.365/.509, with a .374 wOBA, 138 wRC+, .196 ISO, and (perhaps most surprisingly) a 7.3% BB rate. And make no mistake, the main difference in his game is indeed the selectivity manifested in the walk rate. Where he was Arencibia-like (~4% BB) from the ages of 24-27, age 28 has seemed to have brought a higher degree of selectivity. He's stated himself that his approach has changed to incorporate a higher level of patience.

Perhaps most encouraging is the fact that there is no material change in batted ball profile. His LD%, GB%, and FB% are in line with his career averages, and though HR/FB rate and BABIP are both up, the HR/FB% is in line with the 2017 league average, and the BABIP is more similar to the figures he had in his minor league career.

Oh yeah, and he still does ish like this....
giphy.gif


Sorry for the long post....this would've been a Blue Jays Hipsters article.

Oh yeah....and still hate you, Kevin.
 

hoglund

Registered User
Dec 8, 2013
5,790
1,276
Canada
i love gibby but the bunt call tonight was infuriating, and maybhqve cost us the game.

media and fans have been bugging him to play more small ball, which was probably an influence and if Travis was successful, Gibbons would be praised. Personally I would only bunt if it was a bunt situation with a weak hitter at bat, but the media and fans have been on him for not playing small ball, so they shouldn't be complaining now.
 

Discoverer

Registered User
Apr 11, 2012
10,820
5,995
I wrote sometime in the offseason or late last season about how weird Pillar's plate discipline numbers were... he was one of the most aggressive in the league on balls out of the zone, yet he swung at a well-below-average rate on pitches in the zone. While he had great bat-to-ball skills, it shouldn't have been surprising that he a) never walked, and b) didn't get great results when he made contact.

It's just amazing that he's made such drastic changes in his approach. I wouldn't even say he's been more patient - after all, his Swing% is actually up this year because he's been way more aggressive on pitches in the zone. He's just being way more selective instead of just flailing away.

Were up to 179 plate appearances now. It's still a relatively small sample, but I'm convinced that his changes are 100% sustainable. Maintaining a 138 wRC+ is a lot to ask, but I would be surprised if he doesn't settle into at least a 110 wRC+ going forward.
 

zeke

The Dube Abides
Mar 14, 2005
66,937
36,957
His numbers were so weird, though, that it almost seemed he was just consciously being stubborn about his approach (sorta like JPA), so maybe him maturing and going through a revelation as to his approach was always a bigger possibility with him than most others.

And if you look at his career we might end up seeing last year as just an outlier down year in what was otherwise a steady progression to quality mlb hitter (remembering that while his 14/15 lines look similar overall, the first was built mostly on being a lefty-masher off the bench).

I'm still hedging my bets on him, of course.
 
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