It's still early but so far he's had pretty good success in the later rounds.
Heatherington(2nd round) may yet be an NHLer
Bjorkstrand(3rd round) looks like he's a lock for a top 6 role
Merzalkins(3rd round) is a world class goalie who depending on who you talk to, is coming to take a NHL spot next season.
I personally think Stenlund will be a solid middle 6 player(2nd round)
Gavrikov(6th round)was a big force in Russia winning gold recently and should be looking to come over to the NHL now that he has his Olympic medal
Nuttivara(7th round) came in and made an immediate impact and has cemented himself as a top 4dman.
Peeke(2nd round) has been trending upwards and will possibly come play in Cleveland as soon as his season is finished
Abaramovs(3rd round) situation is looking identical to Bjorkstrand, 1st line talent, late round size with a chip on his shoulder to prove everyone wrong.
Texier is a first round talent that slipped to the 2nd round when Columbus didn't have a first
Davidsson(6th round) is one of a few players who could be playing for a NHL roster spot outta training camp this year
Marchenko was their backup first round pick this last draft if they decided to move back at all, which they ended up being able to grab him with their 2nd instead.
I mean St Louis is proof if you just hit on most of your firsts you can build an extremely solid core given some time for those players to develop. Not only for your team but they can be used as trade chips to fix holes on your roster if need be.
for me when looking at the best drafting I look beyond those players taken in the first round
One of the things I'll never understand is giving the majority of credit to the GM for a good draft record.
Honestly, nailing picked in the 10-30 range is just as impressive as getting your 3rd round steal.
99% of the time- The GM has the final say. Things have changed a little--but the GM usually has the final say and settles any argument or dicussion
After the interviews at the combine, Castron and Orlando have almost daily conversations as they spend the final few weeks before the draft tweeking the list.
"There comes a point where not everyone has seen everyone play and that's where Gates and I really have to mesh the lists," he explained. "Sometimes Ray or Dan or [Tom Fitzgerald, Devils assistant general manager] only see a guy once and maybe he has a terrible game. They're not going to veto the opinion of a scout that's seen him play multiple times over the course of a season. All they can say is, 'I don't see what you guys see in him.' So, we have to make the decisions for the group. We'll go back to the area scouts and get their opinions, but in the end the decision comes down to Gates and I. We make the list."
Devils general manager Ray Shero concurs: "I'm involved in the discussion, but the decision isn't mine to make when I've never seen them play or have only seen them once. Each of these scouts are here because they're very good at their job and I've got to rely on them and trust their opinion."
I'll agree with some of this, although he got hired just before the 2010 draft so he let the previous scouting staff make the picks that draft - his first draft where he exercised control was 2011, so I don't put Connolly on him too much.He's been terrible in the top 10. He also didn't pick Hedman (That was Lawton). I'd say anyone who picks Connelly and Koekkeok in the top 10 is probably not the best drafter in the league. I'd also say Drouin over Jones (which was contested at the time), and even Monahan (would have been a reach similar to PLD over Puljujarvi) looks pretty bad in retrospect. I don't think he's hit a homerun with any top 10 pick, and in two cases I'd say he struck out.
While their late round hits off-set their misses, I also would wonder why a scouting staff can draft well outside the first but has a bad record in the top 10. It would make me question what exactly is flawed in the process early on, but is working later.
But, as pointed out, GM's are rarely heavily involved, especially outside the first round. Some GM's do have reputations for getting involved in the first, Doug McLean was notorious for this.
He is smart though in knowing when he has a bad asset and moving it in exachange for more chance. He did this with Connolly, and dumped DeAngelo (another bad mid-first rounder) early on.
After his latest draft, Holland may be having a resurgence.
Doesnt the GM
1. Build the staff?
2. Trust the staff?
Saying they have no input in scouting because they're not scouts is like saying they have no input on wins because they're not scoring.
Logan Stanley?Kevin Cheveldayoff. He hasn't missed (yet) on a single Jets first rounder. A few good later round players along the way too.