BB's 2006 Top 50

Discussion in 'NHL Draft - Prospects' started by Blue Bullet, Jan 22, 2006.

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  1. Blue Bullet

    Blue Bullet Registered User

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    Notes and thoughts on my rankings and the 2006 draft

    This year reminds me in some ways of the 1993 draft when you had the talented and dynamic Alexander Daigle (though I think Kessel will turn out better than Daigle) go 1st overall and the big two-way d-man in Pronger go 2nd. This year I think it will be a reversal of the two with the d-man going 1st.

    It was very tough in choosing between Johnson and Kessel. Johnson edged Kessel out due to the rarity of big d-men with his mobility and two-way play.

    Though the WJC exposed some holes in Kessel’s game (which most scouts already knew about), I still think there is a bit of a gap between him and the #3 spot. In my mind, Kessel did not do anything to lose the #1 spot but instead Johnson earned it.

    The top end of the draft is very good this year with the top 12 guys on my list all having the potential to be top line players and stars on the teams that pick them.

    There is not much that separates the players between 3rd and 8th. I was really struggling to separate them as all of them bring very good all-around games. In the end, I ranked them in accordance to which ones had the best combo of skill, skating, size and intangibles.

    Nigel Williams has entered my potential star category. At times this year, he has looked like the best big man on his team over Erik Johnson. He is a bit of a late bloomer and he is still raw in some of his development but the upside is huge. Williams is at the stage in his development that Erik Johnson was at a year ago.

    There is a slight drop-off between 12th and 13th

    After the first three d-men are gone, the rankings are made up of offensive d-men with some warts to their game and second pairing stay-at-home d-man. Most of the offensive d-men have a combination of the following problems: skating, physical play or defensive awareness.

    There are still good offensive forwards available after the top 25 but they are of the boom or bust variety. The other forwards on the list are guys that may wind up as 2nd line players but are more likely to turn out as checkers and role players.

    I like the top end of the draft but the draft does lack depth in the later rounds.

    This year I did factor in the lack of an IIHF agreement with Russia. In the end there were no Russians that I felt were worth taking a risk on in the top 50. However, if I had done a top 60 or 75 you would have likely seen Alexandrov, Zharkov, Vasyunov and Makarov all make my list.

    RANK NAME POS TEAM BD HT/WT

    1 Erik Johnson D USA U-18 (NTDP) 3/21/1988 6’4/222
    Future star d-man in the making

    2 Phil Kessel C Minnesota (WCHA) 10/2/1987 6’0/189
    Most dynamic player in the draft

    3 Jordan Staal C Peterborough (OHL) 9/10/1988 6’4/209
    Has the best combo of size, skill and skating of any forward in the draft

    4 Jonathan Toews LW/C North Dakota (WCHA) 4/29/1988 6’2/195
    Most complete player in the draft

    5 Niklas Backstrom C Brynas (SWE) 11/23/1987 6’0/183
    He may be the best Swedish player in years

    6 Michael Frolik RW Kladno (CZE) 2/17/1988 6’1/187
    Skating and hands second only to Kessel

    7 Peter Mueller C Everett (WHL) 4/14/1988 6’3/210
    His skating is the only reason he is ranked 7th instead of 3rd

    8 James Sheppard C Cape Breton (QMJHL) 4/25/1988 6’2/201
    Like Mueller his skating drops him to the 8th spot

    9 Bryan Little C Barrie (OHL) 6/9/1987 5’10/194
    A talented player whose game is intended for the new NHL

    10 Nigel Williams D USA U-18 (NTDP) 4/18/1988 6’5/226
    Late bloomer that has outperformed Johnson at times this year

    11 Bob Sanguinetti D Owen Sound (OHL) 2/29/1988 6’2/182
    Fast skating, smart two-way d-man but lacks a physical game

    12 Derick Brassard C Drummondville (QMJHL) 9/22/1987 6’0/174
    One of the most talented offensive players but his all-around game is lacking

    13 Kyle Okposo RW Des Moines (USHL) 4/16/1988 6’0/195
    Good player in the mold of Brendan Morrow or Kyle Calder

    14 Chris Stewart RW Kingston (OHL) 10/30/1987 6’2/227
    Not as talented as his older brother but makes up for it with a better work ethic

    15 Jiri Tlusty C Kladno (CZE) 3/16/1988 6’1/198
    Has the skills, skating and grit to be a solid 2nd line player

    16 Cory Emmerton C/LW Kingston (OHL) 6/1/1988 6’0/181
    Has the hands and two-way play to be a very good 2nd line center

    17 Jonathan Bernier G Lewiston (QMJHL) 8/7/1988 5’11/180
    The top goalie in the draft due to his athleticism and reflexes

    18 Ty Wishart D Prince George (WHL) 5/19/1988 6’5 214
    Solid, reliable d-man that plays a very smart and safe game

    19 Jesse Joensuu RW Assat (FIN) 10/5/1987 6’4/207
    Big power forward that lacks the hands to be a top 10 pick

    20 Ivan Vishnevsky D Rouyn Noranda (QMJHL) 2/18/1988 6’0/178
    Talented offensive d-man with good speed and a hard shot

    21 Michael Forney LW Thief River Falls (USHS) 5/14/1988 6’2/185
    Has goods hands for a player his size but the rest of his game needs work

    22 Mark Mitera D Michigan (CCHA) 10/22/1987 6’3/202
    Stay-at-home d-man with good mobility for a player his size

    23 Ben Maxwell C Kootenay (WHL) 3/30/1988 6’0/175
    Talented offensive player that needs to bulk up

    24 John DeGray D Brampton (OHL) 3/14/1988 6’4/202
    Reliable, smart, stay-at-home d-man with limited offensive upside

    25 Joey Ryan D Quebec (QMJHL) 10/19/1987 6’2/186
    An underrated physical stay-at-home d-man

    26 Brian Strait D USA U-18 (NTDP) 1/4/1988 6’1/200
    Similar description to that of Ryan

    27 Leland Irving G Everett (WHL) 4/11/1988 6’0/177
    Reliable goalie that plays an economical game

    28 Ryan Hillier LW Halifax (QMJHL) 1/25/1988 5’11/184
    Hard working energy player with speed and skill

    29 Nick Foligno LW Sudbury (OHL) 10/31/1987 6’0/190
    Physical forward that has had an inconsistent year

    30 Tomas Kana C Vitkovice (CZE) 11/29/1987 6’0/189
    Good two-way player with a decent skill level

    31 David Kveton RW Vsetin (CZE) 1/3/1988 5’11/180
    Talented offensive player that plays too much on the perimeter

    32 Billy Sauer G Michigan (CCHA) 1/622/1988 6’2/170
    Solid goalie that is already a starter at the college level

    33 Ben Shutron D Kingston (OHL) 6/14/1988 6’0/188
    Offensive d-man that lacks a physical game and needs to improve in his own zone

    34 Chris Summers D USA U-18 (NTDP) 2/5/1988 6’2/180
    Solid puck-moving d-man whose stats do not reflect his offensive game

    35 Ryan White C Calgary (WHL) 3/17/1988 6’0/204
    Physical center that will be a very solid checker at the NHL level

    36 Bobby Hughes C Kingston (OHL) 11/11/1987 5’11/181
    Good combo of skill and work ethic but in a smaller frame

    37 Tony Lagerstrom C Sodertalje (SWE JR) 7/19/1988 6’1/187
    Good two-way player whose offensive game has improved over the year

    38 David Ruzicka D Kladno (CZE JR) 3/8/1988 6’3/185
    Lanky d-man who is being ranked all over the map

    39 Matt Corrente D Saginaw (OHL) 3/17/1988 6’0/196
    Physical d-man with some offensive skill but needs to improve in his own zone

    40 Tomas Marcinko C/W Kosice (SVK JR) 4/11/1988 6’4/187
    Talented big man whose work ethic is very inconsistent

    41 James McGinn LW Ottawa (OHL) 8/5/1988 6’1/183
    Solid energy player whose scoring totals have been rising as of late

    42 Mathieu Carle D Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL) 9/30/1987 6’0/200
    Offensive d-man that needs to improve his all-around game

    43 Riku Helenius G Ilves (FIN JR) 3/1/1988 6’3/202
    A big, talented Finnish goalie that is moving up the rankings

    44 Ryan Flynn RW USA U-18 (NTDP) 3/22/1988 6’3/212
    Hard working, physical player with 3rd line potential

    45 Francois Bouchard C Baie Comeau (QMJHL) 4/26/1988 6’0/180
    Talented playmaking center who will be a boom or bust

    46 Trevor Lewis C Des Moines (USHL) 1/8/1987 6’1/192
    Okposo’s center is starting to get some credit due to his strong play

    47 Codey Burki C Brandon (WHL) 11/17/1987 6’1/193
    Speedster with decent hands; probably a bottom 6 energy player

    48 Niko Hovinen G Jokerit (FIN) 3/16/1988 6’5/198
    Like Helenius, a big Finn that covers a lot of the net

    49 Hugo Carpentier C Rouyn Noranda (QMJHL) 3/17/1988 6’2/200
    Underrated player with decent hands and a good size frame

    50 Logan Pyett D Regina (WHL) 5/26/1988 5’10/199
    Short, stocky d-man whose play has regressed over the last little while
     
    Last edited: Jan 25, 2006
  2. sehnsucht

    sehnsucht Registered User

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    From a Flame's perspective, they need forward depth and Sutter likes forwards who are safe picks, guys who work hard enough, are smart enough, and responsible defensively enough to make the NHL in some role, like Chucko, Boyd, Ryder, Prust to an extent, etc. He doesn't mind making a surprise pick, taking someone who was pencilled in the 2nd as a late 1st rounder. So, in your opinion, which forwards from this draft fit that description?
     
  3. JSmith81x

    JSmith81x Your weapon is guilt

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    Pretty good, although I don't think Bernier will drop that far. 1996 was the last time there wasn't a goalie taken in the top 14; only 2 of the last 10 Drafts had a goalie not go in the top 10 (1996, 1998).

    ;)
     
  4. J17 Vs Proclamation

    J17 Vs Proclamation Registered User

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    Thats the probably with the Flames IMO, safe picks are great but you guys really need a great offensive prospect and i cant see Sutter taking a risk.
     
  5. Blue Bullet

    Blue Bullet Registered User

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    Your probably right that a goalie will be taken higher than 17th. I wouldn't if I was drafting but that's just me.

    I forgot about Vishnevskiy. As for Russians playing in Russia, I would hesitate on taking one unless you get some guarentee he will be able to come over and won't re-enter the draft in two years.
     
  6. badrobot101

    badrobot101 Registered User

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    Great list, lots to think about.

    As a Leafs fan, and convinced that we need to focus on the blueline, I'm hoping we might get Nigel Williams or Sanguinetti. I guess that would require us to keep choking and miss the playoffs though.

    :help:
     
  7. Blue Bullet

    Blue Bullet Registered User

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    The guy I think best fits your description is Ryan White from the Calgary Hitmen as a guy that is a Sutter type player.

    Others include Lagerstrom, McGinn, Flynn, Burki and Calla.
     
  8. bigd

    bigd Registered User

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    One of the better lists I've seen so far.
     
  9. kruezer

    kruezer Registered User

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    I'd like the Flames to pick Ben Maxwell if he is still around when they have the chance to select.
     
  10. The Mighty Duck Man

    The Mighty Duck Man R-E-L-A-X

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    I'm hoping Bob Sanguinetti will fall to the Ducks this year in the first round, and I hope they could pick up Ryan Flynn or Logan Pyett in the second.
     
  11. All Star United

    All Star United Registered User

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    Hey BB, how many of these players have you seen playing live? How many times have you seen them on average?

    Thanks
     
  12. B Boarding

    B Boarding Registered User

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    Where would you pick Jhonas Enroth (goalie SWE jr) and Niclas Andersén(d SWE Jr), though stay-at-home defender compared to Ulfie Samuelsson? They should at least be close to making the list IMO...
     
  13. monster_bertuzzi

    monster_bertuzzi registered user

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    And I guess Martin St.Louis is 5'11''?
     
  14. Blue Bullet

    Blue Bullet Registered User

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    Forgot to put my usual disclaimer. I am not a scout or try to pretend to be one. I do get to watch these guys on t.v. but being up here in Edmonton the only time I get to see the WHL live is if I go down to Red Deer or Calgary to watch them play. However, I do not get to see these guys enough times to get my own scouting report of them.

    I do this in a similar fashion to that of a person playing the stock market. You gather as much information as possible and from that information you try to decide whether you want to buy or sell. Instead of stocks I do this with players. So basically this list is based on my analysis of the scouting reports and rankings at my disposal.
     
  15. Blue Bullet

    Blue Bullet Registered User

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    They both were considered as well as Ahnelov and Berglund. They are both in the next group of players (top 75). You should see them both on my top 100 list at the end of the year.
     
  16. Blue Bullet

    Blue Bullet Registered User

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    That is what everybody has him listed at and he looked at least close to 6' at the WJC.
     
  17. Letang fan 58

    Letang fan 58 No More Fleury

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    Thats about the exact opposite of a true description on Codey Burki.......makes me ponder wether you have seen most of these players ever play or are going by what other people say?

    Burki for those who dont know...........is not a physical player at all.........he has some scoring potential..........can make some plays.......has some speed..........and a pretty accurate shot
     
  18. monster_bertuzzi

    monster_bertuzzi registered user

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    TSN listen him at 5'10'', which is probably what he is.
     
  19. B Boarding

    B Boarding Registered User

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    I think you are confusing him with Nicklas Bergfors? He is 5-10, 5-11. But Bäckström is 184 cm, which is 6-0 and almost a half inch...
     
  20. no Gino

    no Gino Registered User

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    Don't know if I'd go as far as "not physical at all", but I thought the same thing when reading his description. It definitely didn't describe his game at all.
     
  21. Hunter Gathers

    Hunter Gathers ordinary corrupt human love Sponsor

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    Flynn has a lot more than 3rd line potential. He has top line potential but a more likely chance to hit the 2nd or 3rd line.
     
  22. Letang fan 58

    Letang fan 58 No More Fleury

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    Other than taking the odd huge hit, and rubbing out players once in a while hes pretty much not physical at all.
     
  23. sbtatter

    sbtatter Registered User

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    He's more a speedster with decent hands than physical. Ryan White and Ryan Reaves are more my definition of physical.....
     
  24. NHL's Central Scouting, on their site, lists Backstrom at 6'0" which is what he actually is since it doesn't benefit CSB from listing incorrect heights on their site. This is also as of the midterm rankings so he may have grown since they measured him as well.
     
  25. Rookie Chargers

    Rookie Chargers Registered User

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    Another site also has him at 6.00, 185. :dunno:
     
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