Auston Matthews - Over/under 82 points

[Brobust]

Over.

3rd in EV point production behind McDavid and MacKinnon.

Next season, he is assured a spot on the top PP unit so expect him PP numbers to come back to at least that of a top line player.

If he plays a full season, he passes 90 points easily.

 

[DanM]

Over.

3rd in EV point production behind McDavid and MacKinnon.

Next season, he is assured a spot on the top PP unit so expect him PP numbers to come back to at least that of a top line player.

If he plays a full season, he passes 90 points easily.

Agreed!

If you watch his game, he is ready to fully breakout in both the playmaking department and even more goals.

Babs needs to take off the shackles lol

I wouldn't be surprised to see him over 100 points if healthy and going strong

 

[Highmarker]

All depends on his health

 

[Skolman]

My guess is he finishes with 80 points, definitely won't sniff 100

 

[naruto]

Hes definitely gonna be ppg. Could see 100pts tbh if hes healthy.

 

[Halla]

close call. If he stays healthy yes, if not no

 

[Halla]

82 game pace last year was 45g/83pts

that was a decent jump from 40g/69pts

he will keep getting better. 45g/90pts if healthy is my bet

 

[Critical13]

For those saying if he stays healthy..I also mentioned that his rate could be ppg as well. So an over 82pt vote also means over ppg, even if that's only 75 games with 76 points.

 

[CantLoseWithMatthews]

he's one of the best players in the world at 5v5, but he's not that great at racking up PP points. maybe it'll change next year though

 

[The Winter Soldier]

he's one of the best players in the world at 5v5, but he's not that great at racking up PP points. maybe it'll change next year though

Partially correct. He had 21 PP points in his rookie season. That is not too shabby.

 

[missionAvs]

I voted over but in any case, I think he'll be close to the PPG mark. If he misses (which I don't see him doing), it won't be by much.

 

[Filatov2Kovalev2Bonk]

Liking the over here. AM34 will have unfinished business and I can easily see him pumping 40+ past unsuspecting goalies and adding another 40 or so assists as well.
Please Auston, don't take it out on our rebuilding franchise.

 

[Regal]

I think he should be right around there with a more likely than not chance that he's over. I'm not sure I agree with the 100 point potential some are saying, but I can see 90 if all goes well and scoring stays higher.

 

[LeafsNation75]

Over.

3rd in EV point production behind McDavid and MacKinnon.

Next season, he is assured a spot on the top PP unit so expect him PP numbers to come back to at least that of a top line player.

If he plays a full season, he passes 90 points easily.

I believe Matthews has the same amount of 5v5 goals scored as McDavid.

 

[kk87]

Hard to imagine he'll get less if he plays a full season given that he'll get far more PP time and potentially more ice time with guys like Marner

 

[MardyBum]

I'll say over, especially if he gets more PP time.

 

[6ix]

I’m going over. Babcock knows it’s time to take the cuffs off and let him play 20 mins a night and 1st PP.

 

[olli]

44 G 42 A 86 points if he gets up to 3:00+ minutes. pp toi. 42 G 39 A if his pp toi stays under 2:30.

About the same deal with with toi/ game. The more he plays the closer to the 86 points, the less he plays the closer to 81 points.

 

[McFlyingV]

I believe Matthews has the same amount of 5v5 goals scored as McDavid.

McDavid led the league with 30, Matthews was 4th with 26 which is pretty damn good considering he only played 62 games. No question he's one of the best goal scorers in the league, and maybe even the best goalscorer 5v5.

 

[Menzinger]

Assuming he’s healthy for most of the season likely a higher chance he hits 90 points than under a PPG

 

[LeafsNation75]

McDavid led the league with 30, Matthews was 4th with 26 which is pretty damn good considering he only played 62 games. No question he's one of the best goal scorers in the league, and maybe even the best goalscorer 5v5.

Actually if you ignore McDavid's rookie season it turns out Matthews has more 5v5 goals since he came into the league, because that was mentioned on TSN when they did their rankings of 1st overall picks since 1969.

Matthews total of 5v5 goals so far is 56 goals.

McDavid's total of 5v5 goals since his 2nd season only is 51 goals. Of course his actual total is 63 5v5 goals when you include his rookie season.

Auston Matthews NHL Advanced Statistics (5-on-5) | Hockey-Reference.com

Connor McDavid NHL Advanced Statistics (5-on-5) | Hockey-Reference.com

 

[McFlyingV]

Actually if you ignore McDavid's rookie season it turns out Matthews has more 5v5 goals since he came into the league, because that was mentioned on TSN when they did their rankings of 1st overall picks since 1969.

Matthews total of 5v5 goals so far is 56 goals.

McDavid's total of 5v5 goals since his 2nd season only is 51 goals. Of course his actual total is 63 5v5 goals when you include his rookie season.

Auston Matthews NHL Advanced Statistics (5-on-5) | Hockey-Reference.com

Connor McDavid NHL Advanced Statistics (5-on-5) | Hockey-Reference.com

Definitely doesn't surprise me. McDavid's goal scoring game is evolving, but it wasn't one of his biggest strengths up until this past season. The progression of his goalscoring and point production in the NHL is actually eerily similar to his 3 years in the OHL so I'm excited to see what year 4 will entail.

For Matthews he definitely saw an uptick in both goals and assists on a per game basis. There's no question imo that he will be among the elite goalscorers in this league for the next decade+. What I'm curious to see is if he can get his playmaking numbers up to elite levels. He's got a long way to go to get into that elite playmaker production of 50-60+ assists per year, but he's on the right path. Even if he can get into the mid 40 range that likely leaves him as an 85-90 point player.

 

[LeafsNation75]

Definitely doesn't surprise me. McDavid's goal scoring game is evolving, but it wasn't one of his biggest strengths up until this past season. The progression of his goalscoring and point production in the NHL is actually eerily similar to his 3 years in the OHL so I'm excited to see what year 4 will entail.

For Matthews he definitely saw an uptick in both goals and assists on a per game basis. There's no question imo that he will be among the elite goalscorers in this league for the next decade+. What I'm curious to see is if he can get his playmaking numbers up to elite levels. He's got a long way to go to get into that elite playmaker production of 50-60+ assists per year, but he's on the right path. Even if he can get into the mid 40 range that likely leaves him as an 85-90 point player.

So far in his first 2 seasons Matthews has had 29 assists and chances are if he was not injured he would have got at least 30+ in that category. So I think next year you will see his numbers in that category go up.

 

[McFlyingV]

So far in his first 2 seasons Matthews has had 29 assists and chances are if he was not injured he would have got at least 30+ in that category. So I think next year you will see his numbers in that category go up.

Yeah thats what I meant. Last season he was on pace for 38 over 82 games which was a nice uptick from his rookie year. He's going to need to keep working on that and push up near the 50 assist range if he wants to be considered a top 5 centre in the league, which imo is his potential if he can improve that part of his game.

 

[LeafsNation75]

Yeah thats what I meant. Last season he was on pace for 38 over 82 games which was a nice uptick from his rookie year. He's going to need to keep working on that and push up near the 50 assist range if he wants to be considered a top 5 centre in the league, which imo is his potential if he can improve that part of his game.

If Matthews can play a lot more with Mitch Marner next season and even if it's just on the same power play line, I can see one of two things happening. Either Marner will set him up more goals which pads both their stats along with Matthews total goals or Marner will score more goals and Matthews will get more assists giving him the puck.