In general stuff does usually average out over the season... but... who would have thunk that Neal would end the season with a 5% shooting percentage or that Jankowski wouldn't score his first goal until the season was more than half over. Sometimes stuff just doesn't average out. Sometimes you just end up with a long run of bad luck. Why are the Flames having such a poor season this year compared to last when the roster is virtually identical? Frankly I think the team is just experiencing a long run of bad luck and I don't have very high hopes that they will now experience a long run of good luck to average things out.
Did the Flames have a better than they should have regular season last year? Possibly. Are the Flames having a worse than they should have season this year? I think so. I think with the way the season is going so far, and the bad luck that the team has experienced, that the Flames are going to have to fight and scratch for every point they get from now until season end. The team is better than the points show but I don't expect a bunch of easy wins, in the next 30 games remaining, to make up for all the tough losses so far, to average out the record.
Or maybe its because we (once again) have reverted to a cycle style with awful transitional play? As we saw under Hartley and Peters (in year 1), this team's bread and butter is scoring off the rush. With a supposed "mobile" defense we have, its facepalm worthy the amount of times I see us do d to d passes in our own zone and let the other team clog the middle. Same shit happened under Gulutzan and our "luck" never reverted to the mean.
Seriously, there are entire games in which I can count on one hand the number of times we enter the offensive zone with the puck cleanly (even when they can, it always turns into a chip and chase play that usually sees us cough up possession), yet a lot of other teams don't have that same issue against us for some reason (cough cough our hilariously passive play in the neutral zone and giving every player space). Doesn't help that our forecheck is also hilariously passive (cough cough does this remind you of another recent coach), on many occassions only having a SINGLE player persue the puck. Yeah, I doubt our "luck" fixes itself until we get a new coach (and another top 6 rh fwd).