oilers_guy_eddie said:
Sure, he sounds like a guy who'll have a sure-fire pro career... as an energy-line player. But I thought you cited this survey as evidence of the Oilers' lack of *elite* prospects. Is Eric Nystrom an *elite* prospect? (Shouldn't an elite forward at least be in the top 10 on his own team in scoring?)
I guess there is the flaw in your evaluation. You think that rating a prospect is all about scoring numbers. The road to the NHL is littered with big time scorers who could not play a two way game. Growth isn't always about posting big numbers and is usually honing the finer points of the game and assuming a role the coach asks of you. Maybe the coach recognizes that his team has a certain make up and assigns a player a given role because he is more capable of playing that role? Its no insult to a player when the coach asks him to focus on something for the good of the team, especially when the coach selects him the team captain. For Eric Nystrom it appears that this may have been the case. Red Berenson obviously saw something in the kid and decided that he was the most versatile player on the team and gave him a role to perform in the mold of Guy Carbonneau. For a coach like Berenson to do what he has with Nystrom shows a lot of trust and belief in the kid. That is something that I have recognized and made me pay a little more attention to him. I'm still not a fan of him, but I can see how he has the skill, temperment and attitude to be great NHL player. It appears he's being groomed to be a Doug Jarvis. Who wouldn't want a player like that on their team?
thome_26 said:
it's pretty funny that Oilers fans being proud of having the greatest dynasty ever is something that the Flames fans try and look down on.
The greatest dynasty ever? I don't mean to burst your bubble but the Oilers team was not the greatest dynasty ever. They had a fantastic run, and likely are in the top five, but I would not consider them the greatest dynasty. They won five Stanley Cups, but they did not win them in succession. The teams that won their cups in succession get the nod as being the greatest dynasties. The 56-60 Canadiens, the 76-79 Canadiens, the 80-83 Islanders are all greater dynasties than the Oilers were.
I don't think anyone, even a Flames fan, looks down on the Oilers accomplishments in the 80's. I think that some may get tired of the notion of the fans grasping on to something and refusing to let it go. We would be coming up on the 15th anniversary of the Oilers' last Stanley Cup championship this spring, so maybe its time to let that run be nothing but a memory and focus on the now? I'm pretty sure that Buffalo Bills fans don't continually bring up the fact that won consecutive AFL Championships when discussing the plight of their team during the 2004 season.
the rankings are possible results. it's a case by case thing. A quarter, maybe, of all prospects with a ranking of 5 or higher will make the NHL. I think everybody knows that.
No, the rankings are an impossibility. No organization has 47 players that they believe have NHL talent. None. If they did the NHL would expand again and have a team in every major city on the continent. You saying that a team has a 25% success rate of developing players? And everyone knows this? You better call all the NHL teams and tell them that they are not meeting the success level that
everyone knows they should be attaining.
Fact of the matter is that at any given time a team knows they have three or four guys that they are pretty hopeful for making it to the NHL and having long term careers. They have another three or four that see as projects and could develop into an NHL calibre player. The rest are all long shots where you hope a guy will be a late bloomer or over achieve, finding a way to the league for a cup of coffee. Maybe, one of these guys catches lightning in a bottle and finds a niche, allowing him to have an NHL career. It doesn't happen very often, but it does take place.
There is the tough part of the prospect game. Every year someone new comes along and becomes the flavor of the month. Three short years ago Oiler fans were all abuzz about Michel Riesen, Michael Henrich and Jani Rita. Those were the stars of tomorrow. Where are they now? Riesen is in the Swiss league watching NHL stars Thornton and Nash. Rita is on the fringe of prospect-dom and is going to get his last shot at making the NHL when play resumes. Henrich is out of hockey all together. What is funny is that out of the 29 young men selected in the three drafts that these three "stars of tomorrow" came from, the best player was a long shot third rounder that beat the odds. Mike Comrie has proven to be the best player the Oilers selected in this period and he had to over come great odds to get to the NHL. Beyond him the only players from the bunch to become NHL players have been Jason Chimera, Shawn Horcoff and Alex Semenov (a 13% success rate). I think that the projections are extremely generous and are not realistic. If you feel otherwise that is your perogative, but I think you are setting yourself up for endless heartbreak and frustration by continuing to have this pie-in-sky outlook on things. It isn't reality and it likely isn't healthy.