I think they played well above expectations last year, so if you’re holding them to that standard you’ll be disappointed. Going into the season I think nearly everyone would agree Vegas looks like the class of the division. SJ likely considered the 2nd best team. I’d say the Flames would remain the favourite to finish 3rd in the division (but hoping my Oil change that).
The Looch trade was always going to be bad, regardless of what Neal does in Edmonton. Looch is too slow and undisciplined in both his system play (going out of position chasing hits), and taking bad penalties. I don’t think it’s out of the question to suggest he could easily cost a team 5-7 games (turning a W to an L) in a given season. I’m sure people will think this is a gross exaggeration, but I watched the guy cost us games the last 3 years.
So if we were to apply the high end of that assessment to both teams (-7 W for Calgary with Looch, +7W to Oil without Looch) to last year’s records, the Oil and Flames finish tied with 93 points. That’s honestly pretty close to how I see the season playing out - Oil, Flames, Nucks and Ducks duking it out for 3rd in the division.