Announcing the 2005 Create-A-Draft Simulator

[Grandpabuzz]

Ok I ran this thing 60 times with:


Starting number of ping pong balls per team: 3
Minimum number of balls possible per team: 1
Maximum number of balls possible per team: 3
Number of years to include (1 to 4): 3
Each Year Made Playoffs: -1
Each Year Missed Playoffs: 0
Each Time a Playoff Round Played: 0
Each Time Won Stanley Cup: -1
Each Time Had First Overall Draft Pick: 0
Each Time Won Draft Lottery: -1


And I got these results where Atlanta won once, Buffalo won four times, etc...


1. Min 8
2. Buf 4
3. CBJ 4
4. Car 4
5. Nsh 4
6. Pit 3
7. Chi 3
8. Col 3
9. Col 3
10. NYI 3
11. Phi 3
12. Cgy 2
13. Ana 2
14. NYR 2
15. Det 2
16. Mtl 2
17. SJS 2 Dal 0
18. Edm 1
19. Fla 1
20. LAK 1
21. Atl 1
22. Phx 1
23. Tam 1
24. Bos 1
25. Tor 1
26. Van 1
27. NJD 0
28. Ott 0
29. Stl 0
30. Wsh 0

 

[Canucks5551]

Great job!

 

[Patty Ice]

heh, I had 3 sims in a row where San Jose got the 1st pick. I sure hope this is a sign of things to come...

Ha, weird on my 4th-9th attempts, the Sharks got 4, 3, 3, 5, 5, 1. I'll be happy with top 5

 

[PecaFan]

You know. One thing the Simulator shows, even in a wieghted system. Anything can Happen.

Yup. I think that's exactly what it shows. Those who think the lottery should be 1/30 should be able to see that a weighted draft really isn't too much different, and is nothing to fear.

 

[djhn579]

I had
1. Pit 2. LAK 3. Tam 4. Cgy 5. Phx
as the first 5 and Toronto last

Toronto last sounds about right, but Buf should be first!

 

[PecaFan]

Since they decided to use differing years (going back 4 for first overall, but only three for playoffs), the original sim couldn't get the odds correct for Atlanta.

This page has the numbers locked in, so you can see exactly what we might get:

http://members.shaw.ca/vorpalbunnies/draftsim/official.html

 

[The Joker*]

I did it once

1. Tor ( 2.1%) 2. Atl ( 4.3%) 3. CBJ ( 6.7%) 4. LAK ( 4.8%) 5. Chi ( 5.0%) 6. NYR ( 7.9%) 7. Bos ( 2.9%) 8. Fla ( 2.9%) 9. Cgy ( 6.1%)10. Wsh ( 3.2%)11. Tam ( 3.3%)12. Ana ( 6.9%)13. Phi ( 3.7%)14. Car ( 7.7%)15. Pit ( 12.5%)16. Stl ( 4.8%)17. Edm ( 10.0%)18. NJD ( 5.6%)19. Buf ( 17.6%)20. Nsh ( 14.3%)21. Ott ( 8.3%)22. Mtl ( 9.1%)23. Col ( 10.0%)24. SJS ( 11.1%)25. Dal ( 12.5%)26. Van ( 14.3%)27. Min ( 33.3%)28. NYI ( 25.0%)29. Det ( 33.3%)30. Phx (100.0%)

What a joke

 

[Hedberg]

This simulator is fun.
Great Job.

 

[AZmog]

one sim

1. LAK ( 4.2%)
2. Det ( 2.2%)
3. SJS ( 2.2%)
4. Phi ( 2.3%)
5. Cgy ( 4.7%)
6. Atl ( 4.9%)
7. Ana ( 5.1%)
8. Min ( 5.4%)
9. Chi ( 5.7%)
10. Col ( 3.0%)
11. Pit ( 9.4%)
12. Buf ( 10.3%)
13. CBJ ( 11.5%)
14. Tam ( 4.3%)
15. Edm ( 9.1%)
16. Wsh ( 5.0%)
17. Nsh ( 10.5%)
18. NJD ( 5.9%)
19. Stl ( 6.3%)
20. NYI ( 6.7%)
21. Tor ( 7.1%)
22. Bos ( 7.7%)
23. Fla ( 8.3%)
24. Van ( 9.1%)
25. Car ( 20.0%)
26. Mtl ( 12.5%)
27. Phx ( 28.6%)
28. NYR ( 60.0%)
29. Ott ( 50.0%)
30. Dal (100.0%)

 

[Rails]

Did it 30 times.
First Overall Winners
New Jersey
Columbus
Buffalo
Vancouver
Montreal
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pheonix
Calgary
Chicago
Edmonton
San Jose
New Jersey
Minnesota
Tampa Bay
New Jersey
Pheonix
Vancouver
Anaheim
Los Angeles
New York Rangers
Pittsburgh
New York Islanders
New York Rangers
Florida
Vancouver
Toronto
Carolina
New York Rangers

Most Times Winner (3)
New Jersey, New York Rangers, Pittsburgh