Analyzing the Medal Round Possibilities:

Discussion in 'International Tournaments' started by Pyke*, Dec 31, 2010.

  1. Pyke*

    Pyke* Guest

    So, I figured I'd take a look at the possibilities.

    Right now, in Pool A, Finland has 10 points (loss v. U.S.), U.S.A has 8 points (win v. Fin), Switzerland has 6 points.

    In Pool B, we know that the seeds are:
    1B: Sweden
    2B: Canada
    3B: Russia or Czech Republic

    In Pool A, the U.S./Swiss game is important. Possible outcomes:

    Regulation U.S. Win:
    => 1A: U.S, 2A: Finland, 3A: Switzerland
    QF: Can v. Swiss; Fin v. 3B
    SF: (CAN/SWISS) v. U.S.; (FIN/3B) v. Sweden

    Overtime U.S. Win:
    => Same as above (U.S. wins tie-break)

    Overtime Swiss Win:
    => 1A: Finland, 2A: U.S., 3A: Switzerland
    QF: Can v. Swiss, U.S. v. 3B
    SF: (CAN/SWISS) v. Fin; (U.S./3B) v. Sweden

    Regulation Swiss Win:
    => 1A: Finland, 2A: Switzerland, 3A: U.S.
    QF: Can v. U.S., Swiss v. 3B
    SF: (CAN/U.S.) v. Fin; (Swiss/3B) v. Sweden

    -=-=-=-

    So here's to a Swiss victory in overtime? :P
     
  2. timekeep

    timekeep Registered User

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    i say the first scenario, a US regulation win.
     
  3. Canada4Gold

    Canada4Gold Registered User

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    I was gonna start a thread like this because people were asking about it in the Canada/Sweden GDT, but I was too lazy.

    One interesting aspect that will make the SUI victory unlikely is the fact that the Swiss have nothing to gain by going into OT, they have to win in regulation to get 2nd. So if it's tied late they may pull their goalie to try and win, and make a goal more likely unfortunately.

    I kind of don't want to face the Swiss as they're my 2nd favorite team, but not facing them means a QF match against the US. I'm torn
     
  4. Fitzy

    Fitzy Very Stable Genius

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    So if the US wins tonight, Canada will have to beat the Swiss?

    Not exactly their best opponent of late.
     
  5. The Saw Is the Law

    The Saw Is the Law Registered User

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    I like the first scenario. Canada-USA and Finland-Sweden. Winners to gold game :)
     
  6. Novak Djokovic

    Novak Djokovic #14 and counting...

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    Are you referring to Switzerland? If so, :help:
     
  7. Nakawick

    Nakawick Minty Fresh

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    No one should forget about Russia.
     
  8. Canada4Gold

    Canada4Gold Registered User

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    I don't think he's reffering to the World juniors but international hockey in general. They lost to them at last years world championships, and last years U18
     
  9. Novak Djokovic

    Novak Djokovic #14 and counting...

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    Ah.. in general? That makes some sense then.

    I'm not too worried about Switzerland though their trap game can be a bit frustrating. Canada's PP would be too much for them.


    Canada-USA in semi-finals will be quite the game.
     
  10. Humphrey*

    Humphrey* Guest

    I don't follow junior hockey too much, but I do have tickets to the medal games. Can someone tell me, based on the OP, what I'm most likely looking at for the gold medal game?
     
  11. dmacgreg37

    dmacgreg37 Registered User

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    Based on current scenario and current form, it's hard to say that Sweden/USA isn't the most likely Gold Medal game matchup.
     
  12. wjhl2009fan

    wjhl2009fan Registered User

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    Is there a good chance sure is it a lock as some seem to think no.
     
  13. Humphrey*

    Humphrey* Guest

    ok, thanks.

    yeah, i didn't think there would be a "most likely" matchup. was just seeing what you guys think because i don't follow juniors.

    I really hope either Canada or US is in the finals.
     
  14. Natey

    Natey #koko

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    I'm hoping for Canada and Switzerland to medal.
     
  15. Jordan Eberle

    Jordan Eberle Registered User

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    So who should us canadians be cheering for USA or Swiss?
     
  16. dmacgreg37

    dmacgreg37 Registered User

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    Agreed, no one should say anything is a lock. Look at Russia/Switzerland last year. People were already assuming we'd have Russia in the Semis and look how that worked out.
     
  17. Humphrey*

    Humphrey* Guest

    Canada better beat the Swiss!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
     
  18. Humphrey*

    Humphrey* Guest

    or actually, if the Swiss somehow win then the US has a much easier path to the gold medal game. Hmmmmm
     
  19. Dosing

    Dosing Registered User

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    Wouldnt it be something if sweden lose to russia and canada to US making sweden and canada the ugly brides fighting for bronze X|||||
     
  20. Slimmy

    Slimmy Registered User

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    My thought exactly. Felt a lot more dangerous in group B than Canada. Provided they can pull out the best of their team from min 1.
     
  21. KopitarFAN

    KopitarFAN Reno Sucks!

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    My money is on Canada vs Sweden for Gold, and USA vs Finland for Bronze.

    Then again, i'm always extremely pessimistic when it comes to how team USA will do.
     
  22. It is deja vu, all over again. 3 years ago...

    Sweden beat Canada on the last day of the Round Robin to win their pool.
    Canada had to play a quarterfinal game and won.
    Canada had to play the Americans in the Semi's and won.
    Canada had a rematch with the Swedes in the Finals and won.


    It will play out again this year, verbatim.
     
  23. I agree.
     
  24. Rabid Ranger

    Rabid Ranger 2 is better than one

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    I find it amusing how all the pressure that certain Canadian media outlets was trying to apply to the U.S. as the tournament favorites is now creeping up on Canada. The noose is tightening folks!
     

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