AHL Magic Numbers 2012-13

[HansH]

We're almost to the point where teams are going to start clinching playoff spots (or booking tee times).

And in case you didn't know, Magic Numbers are the number of points won (or lost by other teams) that would clinch a playoff berth, and Tragic Numbers are the number of points lost (or gained by other teams) that would eliminate a team mathematically from being able to make the post-season.

After games of 4/4/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (9 Games Remaining) - 2 points (Also can clinch Atlantic Division with 11 points)
Springfield (9 GR) - 2 points (Also can clinch Northeast Division with 4 points)
Binghamton (8 GR) - 2 points
Syracuse (8 GR) - 2 points
Portland (9 GR) - 10 points
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (7 GR) - 11 points
Connecticut (8 GR) - 15 points
Hershey (9 GR) - 16 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Albany (9 GR) - 16 points
Norfolk (8 GR) - 15 points
Manchester (9 GR) - 15 points
Bridgeport (8 GR) - 13 points
Worcester (9 GR) - 12 points
St. John's (9 GR) - 9 points
Adirondack (9 GR) - 7 points

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (9 GR) - 5 points (Also can clinch South Division with 11 points, can clinch Western Conference with 13 points, can clinch regular-season title with 17 points)
Toronto (8 GR) - 9 points (Also can clinch North Division with 10 points)
Grand Rapids (8 GR) - 10 points (Also can clinch Midwest Division with 12 points)
Charlotte (8 GR) - 11 points
Rochester (9 GR) - 16 points
Houston (8 GR) - 16 points
Oklahoma City (10 GR) - 18 points
Chicago (10 GR) - 19 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Milwaukee (9 GR) - 19 points
Rockford (8 GR) - 15 points
Peoria (8 GR) - 11 points
Abbotsford (6 GR) - 10 points
Lake Erie (6 GR) - 8 points
San Antonio (8 GR) - 8 points
Hamilton (9 GR) - 2 points

Click to read more...

 

[HansH]

And Friday night saw FOUR teams clinch playoff spots (Norfolk loses tiebreakers to everyone at 87 points, so they're all in).

Unfortunately, while Hamilton could, in theory, still get more points than current joint #8 in the West (75 points each for Chicago and Milwaukee right now, Hamilton's max is 76)... The Wolves and MilAds play each other twice more, meaning at least one of those two teams is going to get at least two points, which means that the Bulldogs are, in fact, the first team mathematically eliminated from the Calder Cup playoffs this season.

After games of 4/5/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (8 Games Remaining) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch Atlantic Division with 9 points, and Eastern Conference with 15 points)
Springfield (8 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch Northeast Division with 4 points)
Binghamton (7 GR) - CLINCHED
Syracuse (7 GR) - CLINCHED
Portland (8 GR) - 7 points
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (6 GR) - 8 points
Connecticut (7 GR) - 12 points
Hershey (8 GR) - 13 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Norfolk (7 GR) - 13 points
Albany (8 GR) - 12 points
Manchester (8 GR) - 11 points
Bridgeport (8 GR) - 11 points
Worcester (9 GR) - 10 points
St. John's (8 GR) - 6 points
Adirondack (8 GR) - 4 points

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (8 GR) - 3 points (Also can clinch South Division with 11 points, can clinch Western Conference with 13 points)
Toronto (7 GR) - 5 points (Also can clinch North Division with 8 points)
Grand Rapids (7 GR) - 6 points (Also can clinch Midwest Division with 8 points)
Charlotte (8 GR) - 9 points
Houston (7 GR) - 12 points
Oklahoma City (9 GR) - 14 points
Rochester (8 GR) - 14 points
Chicago (9 GR) - 17 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Milwaukee (8 GR) - 17 points
Rockford (7 GR) - 15 points
Peoria (8 GR) - 11 points
Abbotsford (5 GR) - 8 points
Lake Erie (5 GR) - 8 points
San Antonio (7 GR) - 6 points
Hamilton (8 GR) - ELIMINATED

 

[HansH]

Texas has joined the post-season party, because Chicago and Milwaukee play each other twice more, meaning at least one of them will finish with fewer points than Texas, putting the Stars into the dance.

Springfield has clinched the Northeast Division title, and San Antonio has been eliminated mathematically.

Some teams' numbers may look off -- that's because in some cases the ROW tiebreaker has already been clinched for one team over another (e.g. Peoria loses the ROW tiebreaker to both Milwaukee and Rockford even if the Rivermen were to ROW out, thus a tie with either of those is already guaranteed to go against the Rivermen).

After games of 4/7/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (6 Games Remaining) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch Atlantic Division with 3 points, and Eastern Conference and regular-season title with 11 points)
Springfield (6 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Northeast Division - can clinch at least #2 seed with 11 points)
Syracuse (6 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch East Division with 11 points)
Binghamton (6 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch first-round home ice advantage with 9 points)
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4 GR) - 4 points
Portland (7 GR) - 7 points
Connecticut (5 GR) - 10 points
----
On the Bubble
Hershey (6 GR) - 13 points
Norfolk (6 GR) - 13 points
(Both teams have a maximum of 87 points, and do not play each other in the remaining 6 games. Hershey has the edge in the ROW tiebreaker at this moment, 29-28, so if they win out in regulation or overtime, they get the spot.)
----
Tragic Numbers
Manchester (6 GR) - 9 points
Bridgeport (6 GR) - 9 points
Albany (6 GR) - 8 points
Worcester (7 GR) - 7 points
St. John's (7 GR) - 4 points
Adirondack (6 GR) - 1 point

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (6 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch South Division with 6 points, can clinch Western Conference with 11 points)
Toronto (6 GR) - 3 points (Also can clinch North Division with 6 points)
Grand Rapids (6 GR) - 5 points (Also can clinch Midwest Division with 5 points)
Charlotte (6 GR) - 8 points
Rochester (6 GR) - 10 points
Houston (6 GR) - 10 points
Oklahoma City (7 GR) - 12 points
----
On The Bubble
Milwaukee (6 GR) - 13 points
Chicago (7 GR) - 15 points
(Both teams have a maximum of 91 points, and play each other twice in the remaining games, which will significantly influence which team makes the post-season. Milwaukee has the ROW tiebreaker at this moment, 33-29.)
----
Tragic Numbers
Rockford (5 GR) - 11 points
Abbotsford (4 GR) - 3 points
Lake Erie (5 GR) - 3 points
Peoria (6 GR) - 2 points
San Antonio (6 GR) - ELIMINATED
Hamilton (6 GR) - ELIMINATED

 

[HansH]

Minor movement during the week, including the clinching of the Atlantic Division.

After games of 4/11/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (6 Games Remaining) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Atlantic Division. Can clinch Eastern Conference and regular-season title with 11 points)
Springfield (6 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Northeast Division - can clinch at least #2 seed with 10 points)
Syracuse (5 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch East Division with 10 points)
Binghamton (6 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch first-round home ice advantage with 6 points)
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4 GR) - 4 points
Portland (5 GR) - 7 points
Connecticut (5 GR) - 10 points
----
On the Bubble
Hershey (6 GR) - 13 points
Norfolk (6 GR) - 13 points
(Both teams have a maximum of 87 points, and do not play each other in the remaining 6 games. Hershey has the edge in the ROW tiebreaker at this moment, 29-28, so if they win out in regulation or overtime, they get the spot.)
----
Tragic Numbers
Manchester (6 GR) - 9 points
Albany (6 GR) - 8 points
Bridgeport (5 GR) - 7 points
Worcester (6 GR) - 7 points
St. John's (7 GR) - 4 points
Adirondack (6 GR) - 1 point

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (5 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch South Division with 6 points)
Toronto (6 GR) - 2 points (Also can clinch North Division with 6 points)
Grand Rapids (5 GR) - 5 points (Also can clinch Midwest Division with 5 points)
Charlotte (5 GR) - 6 points
Houston (4 GR) - 8 points
Rochester (6 GR) - 10 points
Oklahoma City (6 GR) - 10 points
----
On The Bubble
Milwaukee (6 GR) - 13 points
Chicago (6 GR) - 13 points
(Both teams have a maximum of 91 points, and play each other twice in the remaining games, which will significantly influence which team makes the post-season. Milwaukee has the ROW tiebreaker at this moment, 33-30, but has not clinched that tiebreaker yet.)
----
Tragic Numbers
Rockford (4 GR) - 7 points
Abbotsford (4 GR) - 3 points
Lake Erie (4 GR) - 3 points
Peoria (5 GR) - 2 points
San Antonio (5 GR) - ELIMINATED
Hamilton (6 GR) - ELIMINATED

 

[adsfan]

Milwaukee also has the head-to-head tiebreaker. They have won 8 of 10 against the Wolves this season! If Chicago loses at Rockford in regulation, I think they are out. If the reverse happens, the IceHogs will be out! That big game is in Rockford tonight.

 

[HansH]

The Marlies have joined the Western Conference post-season roster, while the Phantoms have become the first Eastern Conference team mathematically eliminated... and sadly, the Rivermen have also mathematically come to the end of their rope. Abbotsford and Lake Erie are hanging by a thread, and could both be eliminated if Milwaukee even takes tonight's game to overtime. St. John's could be eliminated if they lose in regulation tonight, or if both the NorAds win tonight and either the Whale get a single point or the IceCaps lose in OT/SO.

After games of 4/12/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (5 Games Remaining) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Atlantic Division. Can clinch Eastern Conference and regular-season title with 9 points)
Springfield (5 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Northeast Division - can clinch at least #2 seed with 7 points)
Syracuse (4 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch first-round home ice advantage with 2 points)
Binghamton (5 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch first-round home ice advantage with 4 points)
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4 GR) - 2 points
Portland (5 GR) - 5 points
Connecticut (4 GR) - 8 points
Norfolk (5 GR) - 9 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Hershey (5 GR) - 9 points
Manchester (5 GR) - 7 points
Bridgeport (4 GR) - 5 points
Albany (5 GR) - 4 points
Worcester (5 GR) - 3 points
St. John's (5 GR) - 2 points
Adirondack (5 GR) - ELIMINATED

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (4 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch South Division with 3 points)
Toronto (5 GR) - CLINCHED (Also can clinch North Division with 6 points)
Grand Rapids (4 GR) - 2 points (Also can clinch Midwest Division with 5 points)
Charlotte (4 GR) - 2 points
Rochester (5 GR) - 6 points
Houston (4 GR) - 6 points
Oklahoma City (5 GR) - 7 points
Milwaukee (5 GR) - 9 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Chicago (6 GR) - 9 points
Rockford (4 GR) - 7 points
Abbotsford (4 GR) - 1 point
Lake Erie (4 GR) - 1 point
Peoria (5 GR) - ELIMINATED
San Antonio (5 GR) - ELIMINATED
Hamilton (6 GR) - ELIMINATED

 

[adsfan]

Tonight, Milwaukee hosts Rockford. Another big game. After one period, it is 0-0.

 

[HansH]

Down the home stretch... Charlotte has clinched because while both Milwaukee and Chicago have maxes of 89, they play each other twice, which means that the worst case for Charlotte is that those teams split two OT victories, finishing all three with 88 points. In that case, the Checkers have clinched more ROW than Chicago can achieve, and thus have clinched the playoffs.

A raft of teams have bowed out of mathematical contention.

After games of 4/14/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (3 Games Remaining) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Atlantic Division. Can clinch Eastern Conference and regular-season title with 3 points)
Springfield (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Northeast Division - can clinch at least #2 seed with 5 points)
Syracuse (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched first-round home ice. Can clinch East Division with 6 points.)
Binghamton (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched first-round home ice.)
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (2 GR) - CLINCHED
Portland (4 GR) - 3 points
Norfolk (5 GR) - 5 points
----
On The Bubble
Connecticut (2 GR) - 5 points
Manchester (3 GR) - 7 points
Hershey (3 GR) - 7 points
(All three teams have a max of 83 points, only one spot available from those three. Manchester and Hershey play head-to-head on the season's last day, and may indeed have a "winner in, loser goes home" situation there.)
----
Tragic Numbers
Bridgeport (4 GR) - 3 points
Worcester (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
Albany (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
St. John's (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
Adirondack (3 GR) - ELIMINATED

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Also have clinched South Division. Can clinch Western Conference with 3 points.)
Toronto (4 GR) - CLINCHED (Can clinch North Division with 3 points. Can clinch #2 seed with 6 points.)
Grand Rapids (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Can clinch Midwest Division with 2 points.)
Charlotte (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Can clinch first-round home ice with 6 points.)
Rochester (3 GR) - 4 points
Houston (3 GR) - 4 points
Oklahoma City (4 GR) - 4 points
----
On The Bubble
Milwaukee (4 GR) - 9 points
Chicago (4 GR) - 9 points
(As mentioned above, these teams play each other twice in the remaining four games, which will be critical in determining which team makes the playoffs... or if things go wrong, in eliminating them both)
----
Tragic Numbers
Rockford (4 GR) - 7 points
Abbotsford (4 GR) - ELIMINATED
Lake Erie (4 GR) - ELIMINATED
Peoria (5 GR) - ELIMINATED
San Antonio (5 GR) - ELIMINATED
Hamilton (6 GR) - ELIMINATED

 

[No Fun Shogun]

Big battle between Milwaukee and Chicago for the final slot....

 

[adsfan]

Big battle between Milwaukee and Chicago for the final slot....

Milwaukee 3 Chicago 2. Big 2 points for the Admirals, putting them back in 8th place. Milwaukee is 12-4-1 in recent games. Chicago didn't have a shot on goal during the first 15 minutes of the game. The Wolves didn't start playing until the third period.

 

[HansH]

After games of 4/16/13:

EASTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Providence (3 Games Remaining) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Atlantic Division. Can clinch Eastern Conference and regular-season title with 3 points)
Springfield (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched Northeast Division - can clinch at least #2 seed with 5 points)
Syracuse (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched first-round home ice. Can clinch East Division with 6 points.)
Binghamton (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Has also clinched first-round home ice.)
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (2 GR) - CLINCHED
Portland (3 GR) - 1 point
Norfolk (3 GR) - 5 points
----
On The Bubble
Connecticut (2 GR) - 5 points
Manchester (3 GR) - 7 points
Hershey (3 GR) - 7 points
(All three teams have a max of 83 points, only one spot available from those three. Manchester and Hershey play head-to-head on the season's last day, and may indeed have a "winner in, loser goes home" situation there.)
----
Tragic Numbers
Bridgeport (4 GR) - 2 points
Worcester (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
Albany (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
St. John's (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
Adirondack (3 GR) - ELIMINATED

WESTERN CONFERENCE:
Magic Numbers
Texas (2 GR) - CLINCHED (Also have clinched South Division. Can clinch Western Conference with 1 point.)
Toronto (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Can clinch North Division with 1 point. Can clinch #2 seed with 4 points.)
Grand Rapids (3 GR) - CLINCHED (Can clinch Midwest Division with 2 points.)
Charlotte (2 GR) - CLINCHED (Can clinch first-round home ice with 3 points.)
Rochester (3 GR) - 2 points
Houston (3 GR) - 2 points
Oklahoma City (3 GR) - 3 points
Milwaukee (3 GR) - 5 points
----
Tragic Numbers
Chicago (3 GR) - 5 points
Rockford (2 GR) - 5 points
Abbotsford (2 GR) - ELIMINATED
Lake Erie (2 GR) - ELIMINATED
Peoria (3 GR) - ELIMINATED
San Antonio (2 GR) - ELIMINATED
Hamilton (3 GR) - ELIMINATED

 

[adsfan]

Milwaukee's magic number is now 3.