Dankmemes187
Registered User
- Nov 18, 2020
- 33
- 26
here is a list of the highest paid players signed this year. I wanted to see how much less players were signing for. here are the results of my investigation.
Top 10 UFA
pietrangelo predicted 8.3 actual 8.8
hall predicted 5.7 actual 8
krug predicted 7.4 actual 6.5
Brodie predicted 5.4 actual 5.0
Dadonov predicted 5.9 actual 5
Tanev predicted 3.6 actual 4.5
Toffoli predicted 5.6 actual 4.3
Schultz predicted 3.0 actual 4.0
Shattenkirk predicted 4.7 actual 3.9
Barrie predicted 4.4 actual 3.8
top 10 RFA
Manthaa predicted 6.5 actual 5.7
Reinhart predicted 5.3 actual 5.2
pulock predicted 5.8 actual 5
burakovsky predicted 3.6 actual 4.9
Deangelo predicted 4.2 actual 4.8
Labanc predicted 3.8 actual 4.7
Strome predicted 4.9 actual 4.5
Toews predicted 4.8 actual 4.1
Montour predicted 3.9 actual 3.9
Kubalik predicted 4.4 actual 3.7
so are contracts cheaper? the short answer is no, the long answer is they're're shorter, which in turn lowers the AAV
without considering predicted term the difference between the predicted and actual salarys is 0nly 900k less over 20 player's or about 50k cheaper each contract. the real difference is that the contracts are much shorter than usual, about 2 years shorter than predicted. if they were longer the AAV would rise too along with contract length
so how much is 2 years AAV worth? that depends on UFA/RFA status, the age of the player and the quality of the player.
these 10 ufa's term on average were 2 years shorter than expected. players like hall 2 years is 1.4m, shattenkirk 500k . but the quality of the players will likely decline with age, meaning the UFA'S are really losing out.
for rfa's its a lot more complicated, there contracts too were also 2 years shorter on average. and for the majority of these player's more years means higher AAV. but realistly alot of these young rfa's will improve, meaning more money down the road, so its kind of a wash.
Top 10 UFA
pietrangelo predicted 8.3 actual 8.8
hall predicted 5.7 actual 8
krug predicted 7.4 actual 6.5
Brodie predicted 5.4 actual 5.0
Dadonov predicted 5.9 actual 5
Tanev predicted 3.6 actual 4.5
Toffoli predicted 5.6 actual 4.3
Schultz predicted 3.0 actual 4.0
Shattenkirk predicted 4.7 actual 3.9
Barrie predicted 4.4 actual 3.8
top 10 RFA
Manthaa predicted 6.5 actual 5.7
Reinhart predicted 5.3 actual 5.2
pulock predicted 5.8 actual 5
burakovsky predicted 3.6 actual 4.9
Deangelo predicted 4.2 actual 4.8
Labanc predicted 3.8 actual 4.7
Strome predicted 4.9 actual 4.5
Toews predicted 4.8 actual 4.1
Montour predicted 3.9 actual 3.9
Kubalik predicted 4.4 actual 3.7
so are contracts cheaper? the short answer is no, the long answer is they're're shorter, which in turn lowers the AAV
without considering predicted term the difference between the predicted and actual salarys is 0nly 900k less over 20 player's or about 50k cheaper each contract. the real difference is that the contracts are much shorter than usual, about 2 years shorter than predicted. if they were longer the AAV would rise too along with contract length
so how much is 2 years AAV worth? that depends on UFA/RFA status, the age of the player and the quality of the player.
these 10 ufa's term on average were 2 years shorter than expected. players like hall 2 years is 1.4m, shattenkirk 500k . but the quality of the players will likely decline with age, meaning the UFA'S are really losing out.
for rfa's its a lot more complicated, there contracts too were also 2 years shorter on average. and for the majority of these player's more years means higher AAV. but realistly alot of these young rfa's will improve, meaning more money down the road, so its kind of a wash.
