http://www.hockeyrumors.blogspot.com/
Well using his model I looked at a few teams and saw some teams with potential problem under this system.
Colorado
Franchise player Joe sakic 8.45 million
other 5 players
Blake 8.35
hejduk 5.7
Tanguay 4.25
foote 4.4
konowalchuk 2.5
even without foersberg they are over the $20 million mentioned. sure that number is arbitrary, but i doubt it will be higher than that so i am going to use it.
Colorado is $5.2 million over already in that area alone. so they would need to cut a player like Blake to really be under the 20 million cap, because aebischer would move into the top 5 if bBake was cut and he makes 2.5 million.
look at Toronto
Franchise Sundin 8.0 million
top 5
Belfour 8.0
nolan 6.5
leetch 6.4
mogilny 5.5
Macabe 4.45
so toronto is 11.5 million over the $20 million cap so tehy would need to cut belfour and nolan to be under this cap and with the size of the contracts under mcabe it would still would take more to cut it under the 20 million. This team will have problems in a cap world
look at Philly
franchise player: Leclair 9 million
top 5 players:
roenick 7 million
amonte 5.8
primeau 4.5
Burke 4.25
desjardins 4.0
the flyers are 5.5 over the cap and with the next highest player at 3.0 million and 9 players that are 1.6-2.9 million. they would be the poster child as to why this doesn't work. they would have to buy out leclaire and move roenick to franchise player. They could also buy out burke and then I think they are just about ready.
Overall they would be cutting payroll costs but from an on ice product point of view this is not to bad for them.
Look at the NYR
Franchise player Jagr $11.0 million
top 5
Holik 8.85 million
Kasparitus 4.45
dunham 3.6 million
tom poti 3.1
Mikael nylander 2.9
the ranger are only 2.9 million over and so they could work it but boy oh boy thats a bad roster imo.
now take a team like Vancouver
franchise Bertuzzi 7.1 miilion
top 5
Naslund 5.65 million
jovanovski 4.65
morrison 3.55
cloutier 3.05
ohlund 3.0
they would actually have a million open to add to make it 20 million. This would be the model that teams would be wanting to move to with young core of players and salaries are high for the superstars but a big drop in spots 3-5.
take a look at a team like EDM
Franchise player Smyth 3.55 million
top 5 players.
Brewer 2.65 mil
smith 2.6
York 2.4
Dvorak 2.1
Staois 2.0
the oiler would be under the 20 million cap by a whopping 8.25 million. If there is any change in revenue sharing then they might have some money to spend to move that up but as it stand now they would be under the cap. If it was a minmum amount of say 15 million the oiler would have to add a player in teh 4 million range.
Now people have been saying this isn't a cap, but this model with a arbitrary $20 million dollar number shows how the salry costs are being cut overall. What if it was only $15 million, a lot of teams would be facing big problems meeting this cap. all of a sudden you could see teams trading away their 2nd 4th and 5th best players to get under the cap. The players in the 6-23 spots on the teasm would be push down as well to get under the cap.
Well using his model I looked at a few teams and saw some teams with potential problem under this system.
Colorado
Franchise player Joe sakic 8.45 million
other 5 players
Blake 8.35
hejduk 5.7
Tanguay 4.25
foote 4.4
konowalchuk 2.5
even without foersberg they are over the $20 million mentioned. sure that number is arbitrary, but i doubt it will be higher than that so i am going to use it.
Colorado is $5.2 million over already in that area alone. so they would need to cut a player like Blake to really be under the 20 million cap, because aebischer would move into the top 5 if bBake was cut and he makes 2.5 million.
look at Toronto
Franchise Sundin 8.0 million
top 5
Belfour 8.0
nolan 6.5
leetch 6.4
mogilny 5.5
Macabe 4.45
so toronto is 11.5 million over the $20 million cap so tehy would need to cut belfour and nolan to be under this cap and with the size of the contracts under mcabe it would still would take more to cut it under the 20 million. This team will have problems in a cap world
look at Philly
franchise player: Leclair 9 million
top 5 players:
roenick 7 million
amonte 5.8
primeau 4.5
Burke 4.25
desjardins 4.0
the flyers are 5.5 over the cap and with the next highest player at 3.0 million and 9 players that are 1.6-2.9 million. they would be the poster child as to why this doesn't work. they would have to buy out leclaire and move roenick to franchise player. They could also buy out burke and then I think they are just about ready.
Overall they would be cutting payroll costs but from an on ice product point of view this is not to bad for them.
Look at the NYR
Franchise player Jagr $11.0 million
top 5
Holik 8.85 million
Kasparitus 4.45
dunham 3.6 million
tom poti 3.1
Mikael nylander 2.9
the ranger are only 2.9 million over and so they could work it but boy oh boy thats a bad roster imo.
now take a team like Vancouver
franchise Bertuzzi 7.1 miilion
top 5
Naslund 5.65 million
jovanovski 4.65
morrison 3.55
cloutier 3.05
ohlund 3.0
they would actually have a million open to add to make it 20 million. This would be the model that teams would be wanting to move to with young core of players and salaries are high for the superstars but a big drop in spots 3-5.
take a look at a team like EDM
Franchise player Smyth 3.55 million
top 5 players.
Brewer 2.65 mil
smith 2.6
York 2.4
Dvorak 2.1
Staois 2.0
the oiler would be under the 20 million cap by a whopping 8.25 million. If there is any change in revenue sharing then they might have some money to spend to move that up but as it stand now they would be under the cap. If it was a minmum amount of say 15 million the oiler would have to add a player in teh 4 million range.
Now people have been saying this isn't a cap, but this model with a arbitrary $20 million dollar number shows how the salry costs are being cut overall. What if it was only $15 million, a lot of teams would be facing big problems meeting this cap. all of a sudden you could see teams trading away their 2nd 4th and 5th best players to get under the cap. The players in the 6-23 spots on the teasm would be push down as well to get under the cap.