rangerssharks414
Registered User
I can't sleep, and I'm a frustrated Jose Altuve fantasy owner here just thinking out loud... 
I remember a few years back that there was a thread about Jose Altuve and 3000 hits. I don't remember what the consensus answer was, though.
Well, since he got his 1000th hit (August 16, 2016), he only has 454 hits. He turned 29 last month, and he still isn't even halfway to 3000. And he's currently injured.
This gets me thinking... how many more 3000 hit players will there be (maybe ever)? There are more home runs being hit than ever, and there are more shifts than ever. Pitchers are throwing harder than ever, and starting pitchers have shorter leashes due to the third time through the order stuff. Not to mention that 3000 hits is either 20 seasons averaging 150 hits or 15 seasons averaging 200 hits...
These are the most "realistic" candidates in my opinion that already have over 1000 career hits (so I'm not projecting super young phenoms).
Stats are entering games played on 6/6/19
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Miggy probably gets there. Is that it? I mean, Cano has four more years (!!!) on his contract after this one, but he's terrible now (and injured again). Markakis might have the second best odds on the list (yes, I know he's third on the active list not counting Pujols, who already has over 3000, but still...). He does have a team option for next season for a reasonable $6M. Andrus is honestly older than I thought, but I think he has a non-zero chance. Castro had a not so good first couple of months, but he isn't even going to be 30 until the start of next season. Altuve's pace has really slowed as mentioned at the top. Trout and Machado are still relatively young even though it seems like they've been around forever. As good as Trout is, I think he won't get there due to the amount of walks he draws. Machado probably won't get there, either, but I think he has a non-zero chance as well.
If none of these guys get there, will there ever be another one?
I remember a few years back that there was a thread about Jose Altuve and 3000 hits. I don't remember what the consensus answer was, though.
Well, since he got his 1000th hit (August 16, 2016), he only has 454 hits. He turned 29 last month, and he still isn't even halfway to 3000. And he's currently injured.
This gets me thinking... how many more 3000 hit players will there be (maybe ever)? There are more home runs being hit than ever, and there are more shifts than ever. Pitchers are throwing harder than ever, and starting pitchers have shorter leashes due to the third time through the order stuff. Not to mention that 3000 hits is either 20 seasons averaging 150 hits or 15 seasons averaging 200 hits...
These are the most "realistic" candidates in my opinion that already have over 1000 career hits (so I'm not projecting super young phenoms).
Stats are entering games played on 6/6/19
| Player | DOB | Hits | Career AVG |
| Miguel Cabrera | 4/18/83 | 2734 | .316 |
| Robinson Cano | 10/22/82 | 2511 | .303 |
| Nick Markakis | 11/17/83 | 2294 | .288 |
| Elvis Andrus | 8/26/88 | 1619 | .276 |
| Starlin Castro | 3/24/90 | 1499 | .279 |
| Jose Altuve | 5/6/90 | 1454 | .314 |
| Mike Trout | 8/7/91 | 1244 | .306 |
| Manny Machado | 7/6/92 | 1106 | .280 |
Miggy probably gets there. Is that it? I mean, Cano has four more years (!!!) on his contract after this one, but he's terrible now (and injured again). Markakis might have the second best odds on the list (yes, I know he's third on the active list not counting Pujols, who already has over 3000, but still...). He does have a team option for next season for a reasonable $6M. Andrus is honestly older than I thought, but I think he has a non-zero chance. Castro had a not so good first couple of months, but he isn't even going to be 30 until the start of next season. Altuve's pace has really slowed as mentioned at the top. Trout and Machado are still relatively young even though it seems like they've been around forever. As good as Trout is, I think he won't get there due to the amount of walks he draws. Machado probably won't get there, either, but I think he has a non-zero chance as well.
If none of these guys get there, will there ever be another one?
