What’s very concerning is that if you have a look at individual player shooting %, our very productive guys had unsustainable ones. Hintz, Pavelski, Robertson all hit levels that are near impossible to maintain. In fact, not a single forward worth much had a crazy low percentage. Our scrubs had very low s%, but so what? If you double a guy’s percentage who only scored 4 goals, it will be totally eclipsed by Hintz, Pavelski, Robertson reverting from their 16%+ they got this year.
Hintz Is most likely to stay in the ballpark. He got a 15.8% last year, only slightly down from 16.3% this year. Pavelski, for example, was more than 5% up from his career average. I think it’s great that we drive possession so strongly, but we probably do need another scorer to smooth things out if injuries hit again, and really just in general.
Benn is probably the closest case for a counter argument, his s% of 8.9% is 4% off his career average, but that’s probably mostly a decline in his shot than anything else.