can you name any draft year the top 10 went in correct order? i will always disagree with bpa because there has never been any proof it works. correct order meaning perfect redraft 5 years later
It's a gamble. You're predicting futures of teenagers. An imperfect science.
I guarantee if you start reaching for position regularly you will find less success than if you look for better players overall.
You pick from a larger pool, you have more chances of success than reaching from a smaller pool.
The odds are against you in both scenarios since most prospects fail, but you have a higher chance of success when there is a larger number of successful prospects in the pool.
Thus, best of all available gives higher odds of succeeding.
That said, you still need to be good at talent evaluation to get it done as well... otherwise you're still going to have trouble identifying the good ones in the first place. Judd B. Has a pretty damned good track record though. I trust a draft board he puts together at this point.
