DatsyukToZetterberg
Alligator!
2) Can anybody comment on O'Rourke? He seems like the only defender that fell from mid-first to early second, instead of the other way around.
I like him for the wings second round pick. Hes a really good skater and has a good shot. His numbers arent crazy this year but theres also really only one D lighting it up for them. Hes one of those leadership types with character that the wings have taken in the past. I think the wings have a few dmen like him in McIsaac and Tuomisto and even Seider is kind of similar I think to those guys.
That being said if some of these guys pan out, the wings D is going to be mobile, able to move the puck and very tough to play against in a playoff series. I think he could have a similar development to McIsaac. Fall a bit in the draft but have the tools to show he could've been picked earlier after the draft.
I would consider him kinda safe and maybe not super high end potential but if he becomes a top 4 D he fit the group really well. And just because he isnt flashy doesnt mean he doesnt become a high end guy either
Just to add to what newfy had to say.
I think he has similar upside to that of Jared McIsaac. O'Rourke will never be the type that can QB your PP, but he has enough offense that he won't be super reliant on just his defensive game at the next level. In terms of his play this year he has been the Soo's best defenceman at ES this year by GF% as well as leading the time in estimated TOI at ES.
I've mentioned before that I think he is getting a bit unlucky in terms of point production thus far this season. The Soo have scored 58 goals at ES while O'Rourke is on the ice and he has just a point on 16 of those, that's an IPP of just 27.6%. Last season he had an IPP of 36.3% and the average OHL defenceman has an IPP 29.4%. If he had his IPP from last season this year he would have an extra 5 points at ES and he would have a total of 31 points in 36 games, those are top 15 and potentially top 10 type numbers. There is more to consider that I don't have the data for. For example, we don't know if his team is getting "lucky" shooting % wise while he is on the at ES and his overall GF numbers are inflated because of it. We also really don't know anything about his PP production, though it seems like he plays on the #2 unit when you look at the point distribution.
Overall, I think he's probably fairly ranked at 33, though I think you can make the case that he could be ranked in 10-20 range as well. When you consider how many minutes he is estimated to play, the success the team has while he is on the ice, and chalk up production concerns to some unlucky bounces he becomes a very legitimate prospect. In my next updated rankings he'll likely be in the 2nd tier of defenceman in this years draft, this year has a 1st tier which is just Drysdale, which will likely place him in the 10-20 range. As always, I don't watch any of these players and get all of my data from pick224.