NFL GDT: 2018 AFC Championship Game: (1) Kansas City Chiefs vs (2) New England Patriots

[MMC]

Going Pats

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[Tuggy]

Picking and rooting for the Patriots because I'm a fan, but confidence isn't super high winning in Arrowhead.

 

[DangleCity]

Picking and rooting for the Patriots because I'm a fan, but confidence isn't super high winning in Arrowhead.

No confident either, but I cant count them out. They just rolled a great team in the Chargers. Arrowhead is gunna be really tough, they should be working on their silent snap count for this game

 

[Fixed to Ruin]

It's a coin flip.

 

[PanthersPens62]

GOAT over the future GOAT.

38-35 Pats

 

[Bob Richards]

 

[TheAngryHank]

NE early 3 point dogs.

 

[c9777666]

These Pats have only won an AFC CG outside of Foxboro in one other place- Pittsburgh. Lost at Indy, twice at Denver

Brady is so used to playing in January at home. He is 3-4 in the playoffs outside of Foxboro,

Plus, I think the fact KC got the Arrowhead playoff monkey off their back means they won’t play tight. Maybe A little looser. They won’t have that weighing them down for once IMO,

Probably not the most perfect example, but I think back to the 2005 NFC CG somewhat:

Seattle had not won a playoff game in 21 years, then got that monkey off their back.

They faced a Carolina team that was basically the same team which had made the Super Bowl 2 years prior but were arguably better (+132 point differential, Steve Smith led in every WR category, Delhimme had better numbers, came off a convincing playoff win vs a talented Bears team ).

The Seahawks won.

 

[sigma six]

Chiefs plz, I've seen more than enough of the other guys.

 

[V13]

If this was in Foxboro i'd pick the Pats but not by much

In Arrowhead however i have to pick the Chiefs .Mahomes is a beast and i'm not sure the Pats defense will be able to stop the Chiefs offense I'm an hardcore Pats fan but logically i have to go with KC on this one

In any case this should be a great fun game. The one in week 6 sure was (43-40)

 

[Unholy Diver]

Pats

I have more faith in Belichick devising a plan to stop Mahomes than I do in Reid

 

[Halladay]

Don't see the Patriots winning at Arrowhead.

 

[Blitzkrug]

Chiefs

It's probably gonna be ugly defensively but the Pats defense doesn't have the horses to keep up with guys like Mahomes and Hill.

 

[Trap Jesus]

Chiefs D was shockingly good vs Indy but Pats should still be able to pick them apart no problem. Still go with the Chiefs in a shootout at home though.

 

[Fish on The Sand]

I would like to see the Chiefs pound the Pats into the ground so hard that the dynasty is over for good. That's probably not going to happen though so I'll take any kind of victory.

Pats had to walk off with a field goal in Foxboro earlier with Mahomes playing the worst half of football of his career. I think being in Arrowhead is going to change things.

 

[c9777666]

Chiefs D was shockingly good vs Indy but Pats should still be able to pick them apart no problem. Still go with the Chiefs in a shootout at home though.

With a worse offensive line and a less mobile QB?

Brady is not what he is outside of Foxboro or neutral sites in January. At least this decade

 

[Dr Quincy]

With a worse offensive line and a less mobile QB?

Brady is not what he is outside of Foxboro or neutral sites in January. At least this decade

I can certainly see KC being favored but your "less mobile QB" thing is odd. How mobile was Brady in the other 8 AFCCG he's played in? The reasons for picking KC have nothing to do with his mobility. And this Patriot offensive line is better than the one that went to the Super Bowl last year. Finally, his last 3 neutral site games in FEBRUARY have been pretty damn awesome....

Again, home field, diminished Gronk, lack of speed on D... all reasons I think KC should be favored.

But it isn't going to be easy for the Chiefs, and Andy Reid's horrendous clock management skills and Mahomes' tendency for giving the ball away and Julian Edelman and Sony Michel playing so well.... don't throw dirt on the grave just yet.

 

[Avs_19]

Going for the Chiefs just so maybe we can get that Rams rematch in the SB. It won't live up to the regular season game but it could still be very fun.

 

[The Mighty Duck Man]

I can certainly see KC being favored but your "less mobile QB" thing is odd. How mobile was Brady in the other 8 AFCCG he's played in? The reasons for picking KC have nothing to do with his mobility. And this Patriot offensive line is better than the one that went to the Super Bowl last year. Finally, his last 3 neutral site games in FEBRUARY have been pretty damn awesome....

Again, home field, diminished Gronk, lack of speed on D... all reasons I think KC should be favored.

But it isn't going to be easy for the Chiefs, and Andy Reid's horrendous clock management skills and Mahomes' tendency for giving the ball away and Julian Edelman and Sony Michel playing so well.... don't throw dirt on the grave just yet.

Its obviously just a comparison to Luck and the Colts and how the Chiefs were able to disrupt them yesterday. If the Chiefs D plays like that then no one should be able to pick them apart no problem.

You'll also note this isnt a neutral site game, maybe the most opposite of that as you'll find in the league, so not sure how that came up.

 

[Dr Quincy]

Its obviously just a comparison to Luck and the Colts and how the Chiefs were able to disrupt them yesterday. If the Chiefs D plays like that then no one should be able to pick them apart no problem.

You'll also note this isnt a neutral site game, maybe the most opposite of that as you'll find in the league, so not sure how that came up.

Sure it's possible KC disrupts the Pats offensive game. It's happened before.
But more often, the Patriots have thwarted pass rush pressure by getting the ball out quickly and by spreading guys out to take advantage.
And obviously I realize next week isn't a neutral site game, but the post I responded to brought up the idea of neutral site games, I was responding to that.

Should be a great game.

 

[The Mighty Duck Man]

Sure it's possible KC disrupts the Pats offensive game. It's happened before.
But more often, the Patriots have thwarted pass rush pressure by getting the ball out quickly and by spreading guys out to take advantage.
And obviously I realize next week isn't a neutral site game, but the post I responded to brought up the idea of neutral site games, I was responding to that.

Should be a great game.

Also something Indy does a lot of. The main point being that after yesterday no one should be saying anyone will be able to pick apart their D in Arrowhead. I also dont know why that guy said neutral, but the larger point was Brady hasnt been very good on the road in January, which checks out.

 

[Dr Quincy]

Interesting stat:
This is the 13th time in 18 years that Brady has played in an AFC title game. That's 76.5%. The odds of Brady playing in an AFC title game are greater than the odds of Lebron James making a free throw (73%)

 

[Dr Quincy]

Also something Indy does a lot of. The main point being that after yesterday no one should be saying anyone will be able to pick apart their D in Arrowhead. I also dont know why that guy said neutral, but the larger point was Brady hasnt been very good on the road in January, which checks out.

1) Not sure if you realize, but Andrew Luck and Indy aren't the New England Patriots
2) Of course the Patriots are able to pick the KC D apart in Arrowhead. Likely? Maybe not. But they absolutely "can".

 

[Dr Quincy]

Brady just had his 16th playoff game with a QB rating of 100+. That's a greater number than Peyton, Rogers and Rivers combined.

 

[c9777666]

I can certainly see KC being favored but your "less mobile QB" thing is odd. How mobile was Brady in the other 8 AFCCG he's played in? The reasons for picking KC have nothing to do with his mobility. And this Patriot offensive line is better than the one that went to the Super Bowl last year. Finally, his last 3 neutral site games in FEBRUARY have been pretty damn awesome....

Again, home field, diminished Gronk, lack of speed on D... all reasons I think KC should be favored.

But it isn't going to be easy for the Chiefs, and Andy Reid's horrendous clock management skills and Mahomes' tendency for giving the ball away and Julian Edelman and Sony Michel playing so well.... don't throw dirt on the grave just yet.

Michel has had only 1 100-yard game on the road