Yeah no offense to Micklebot, but he's terrible at projecting points. I still remember the argument last summer where he tried to convince me that he Sens will score more points than Cameron's Sens.
I see the same thing for Brassard. 20 to 25. In general I think the Sens will score about the same as last year. Maybe slightly better if Boucher figures out the PP, but I'm not holding my breath.
Admittedly, I expected the PP to improve (how could it not, I said to myself). I also didn't anticipate Ryan and Brassard to be snake bitten, or Boucher to go into a defensive shell every time he got a 1 goal lead midway through the 2nd.
There's a lot of guesswork when projecting results with a new coach and a new system. Not nearly as much when those variables are static.
Ryan seems to have figure out his role in the new system, and Brassard should benefit from that, but as you said he likely misses the start of the season. Since I said my projections were based on healthy seasons, that 50 pts for Brass is just that, an 82 game projection, if he misses the first 10, shave off about 5-6 pts. I hadn't taken into account the rust factor though, so that's a perfectly fair observation.
Wrt Burrows, imo he's gone to a much better situation than he had in Vancouver. Went from the 2nd lowest scoring team in the league to a team that scored 30 more goals, and that same team (Ottawa) went through an adjustment period for the first 25 or so games where they scored at a much lower clip. Not sure why people think he's going to produce less than his pace with Vancouver, I think 30 pts from him would be the conservative estimate.
Time will tell, but I also think with Chabot instead of Methot, we have a more offensive backend.
