2017-18 Official Hollywood Top 35

Discussion in 'NCAA, U Sports, and other college' started by Hollywood3, Sep 18, 2017.

  1. Hollywood3

    Hollywood3 Bison/Jet/Moose Fan

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    THE OFFICIAL HOLLYWOOD TOP 35 #12​

    to Jan 21/18​

    There were a couple of category shifts this time. In the OUA West, Western Ontario trades places with Windsor (in C+ and C categories) and in the AUS, St. Mary's finally drops from A to B.

    This was also the end of inter-conference play, at least until the quarter-finals of the U-Cup.

    THE SCORES:

    Jan 17 Dalhousie 0 St. F.X. 3
    Jan 17 Concordia 6 U.Q.T.R. 8
    Jan 17 Queen's 5 R.M.C. 2
    Jan 17 Windsor 3 Waterloo 6
    Jan 18 Laurier 0 Guelph 5
    Jan 19 Calgary 1 Saskatchewan 4
    Jan 19 Lethbridge 1 U.B.C. 2
    Jan 19 Manitoba 3 Mount Royal 4
    Jan 19 Regina 3 Alberta 9
    Jan 19 Acadia 1 U.P.E.I. 5
    Jan 19 Moncton 0 Dalhousie 4
    Jan 19 Saint Mary's 2 New Brunswick 3
    Jan 19 Carleton 0 McGill 4
    Jan 19 Guelph 1 Brock 3
    Jan 19 Nipissing 3 Queen's 4
    Jan 19 W. Ontario 6 Lakehead 2
    Jan 19 Windsor 1 Toronto 5
    Jan 19 York 3 Ryerson 2
    Jan 20 Calgary 0 Saskatchewan 2
    Jan 20 Lethbridge 3 U.B.C. 4 (ot)
    Jan 20 Manitoba 1 Mount Royal 0
    Jan 20 Regina 2 Alberta 4
    Jan 20 Acadia 0 New Brunswick 6
    Jan 20 Moncton 1 St. F.X. 5
    Jan 20 Saint Mary's 5 U.P.E.I. 2
    Jan 20 Brock 0 York 3
    Jan 20 Laurentian 0 Queen's 4
    Jan 20 Nipissing 0 U.O.I.T. 3
    Jan 20 Ottawa 4 McGill 3 (ot)
    Jan 20 Ryerson 3 Toronto 4
    Jan 20 Waterloo 5 Laurier 4 (so)
    Jan 20 W. Ontario 3 Lakehead 2 (ot)
    Jan 21 Concordia 4 Ottawa 3 (ot)
    Jan 21 Laurentian 3 U.O.I.T. 2
    Jan 21 U.Q.T.R. 2 Carleton 4

    Exhibition game:
    Jan 20 Army (NCAA) 5 R.M.C. 0

    THE TABLE:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    * indicates total includes a tie game
    Conf. indicates overall conference record
    Con-x indicates exhibition record within conference
    CIS-x indicates exhibition record within CIS but outside conference
    CIS indicates regular season and exhibition record against CIS teams
    Other indicates record against non-CIS teams
    Total indicates record against all teams
    ∞ In the official standings, Calgary were penalized 2 wins against UBC, a win and OTL against Lethbridge, and an OTL against Alberta for use of an ineligible player. And UQTR was penalized 2 wins against Nipissing, Lakehead, Laurentian, a win and OTL against Queen's, two OTLs against RMC, and a win over Carleton.


    [​IMG]

    With some shifting happening, I publish again the supplementary charts. First, here are the “AOA” charts, with last week's ranking indicated:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    The “average-of-averages” pretty much summarizes things. One exception is that Calgary leads MRU in the CW rankings by any other measure, but would now fall beneath them in the “AOA” measure. For now, Ryerson and Calgary will stay in B and the group of C+ teams in blue will also stay put. Fortunate that Calgary and MRU face one another in the coming week.

    It might just be time to resign ourselves to the fact that no OUA West team is consistent enough to be a B team. For now, Ryerson clings to B just ahead of Calgary.

    SMU was hanging onto the A level for a while now. But their numbers clearly fit better with the B level. This gives the AUS a more “normal” skew and reverberates throughout the AUS rankings. They still don't have a C+ team, and I doubt that will change unless UPEI catches fire.

    With RMC losing to Army in their annual game, the inter-conference play is now over for another year. Here is the final chart:

    [​IMG]

    And here is the current skew:

    [​IMG]



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  2. Hollywood3

    Hollywood3 Bison/Jet/Moose Fan

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    THE OFFICIAL HOLLYWOOD TOP 35 #13​

    to Jan 28/18​

    No teams changed ranking levels this week, but there is a traffic jam between B and C+ which could easily cause some shifting in the final 2 weekends of the regular season. This week's table adds a column, the “AOA”.

    THE SCORES:

    Jan 24 Acadia 1 St. F.X. 4
    Jan 24 New Brunswick 2 U.P.E.I. 3
    Jan 24 Saint Mary's 2 Dalhousie 4
    Jan 24 Ottawa 3 U.Q.T.R. 6
    Jan 25 Calgary 6 Mount Royal 5 (ot)
    Jan 25 Laurier 2 W. Ontario 6
    Jan 25 Ryerson 4 Brock 3 (ot)
    Jan 26 Alberta 8 Lethbridge 1
    Jan 26 Mount Royal 2 Calgary 4
    Jan 26 Regina 6 Manitoba 8
    Jan 26 Saskatchewan 1 U.B.C. 5
    Jan 26 U.P.E.I. 4 Moncton 1
    Jan 26 St. F.X. 3 Saint Mary's 2 (ot)
    Jan 26 Concordia 2 Carleton 4
    Jan 26 Guelph 5 Toronto 4
    Jan 26 R.M.C. 3 Laurentian 4 (ot)
    Jan 26 U.O.I.T. 2 Nipissing 3
    Jan 26 Waterloo 4 Windsor 7
    Jan 26 York 5 Lakehead 4 (ot)
    Jan 27 Alberta 9 Lethbridge 2
    Jan 27 Regina 1 Manitoba 7
    Jan 27 Saskatchewan 1 U.B.C. 3
    Jan 27 Acadia 2 Dalhousie 6
    Jan 27 Moncton 4 New Brunswick 7
    Jan 27 Brock 3 W. Ontario 2 (ot)
    Jan 27 Carleton 1 McGill 6
    Jan 27 Concordia 3 U.O.I.T. 5
    Jan 27 Guelph 5 Laurier 3
    Jan 27 Queen's 3 Laurentian 1
    Jan 27 R.M.C. 4 Nipissing 3
    Jan 27 Ryerson 3 Toronto 4 (ot)
    Jan 27 U.Q.T.R. 2 Ottawa 5
    Jan 27 Waterloo 2 Windsor 1 (so)
    Jan 27 York 4 Lakehead 0

    THE TABLE:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    * indicates total includes a tie game
    Conf. indicates overall conference record
    Con-x indicates exhibition record within conference
    CIS-x indicates exhibition record within CIS but outside conference
    CIS indicates regular season and exhibition record against CIS teams
    Other indicates record against non-CIS teams
    Total indicates record against all teams
    ∞ In the official standings, Calgary were penalized 2 wins against UBC, a win and OTL against Lethbridge, and an OTL against Alberta for use of an ineligible player. And UQTR was penalized 2 wins against Nipissing, Lakehead, Laurentian, a win and OTL against Queen's, two OTLs against RMC, and a win over Carleton.


    [​IMG]

    So, about that traffic jam between B and C+. Calgary ranks ahead of MRU and UBC by comparative records within the CW. By the AOA, they also rank behind Carleton, Queen's, and Ryerson. Meanwhile, MRU and UBC rank ahead of York. So that's how the whole lot get ranked. Now, if one domino should fall those teams could all shift about and there could be loads of shifting between B and C+.

    At the other end, the only team remaining at C- is Moncton. Strange to see Moncton down so low.


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  3. Hollywood3

    Hollywood3 Bison/Jet/Moose Fan

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    THE OFFICIAL HOLLYWOOD TOP 35 #14​

    to Feb 4/18​

    This is the second last OHT35 of the regular season. Two teams got a boost in ranking levels this week: McGill (going from B to A) and UBC (going from C+ to B). This had reverberations throughout the rankings.

    THE SCORES:

    Jan 31 Moncton 1 Dalhousie 2
    Jan 31 McGill 4 U.Q.T.R. 3
    Jan 31 Waterloo 1 W. Ontario 2
    Feb 01 Carleton 4 U.O.I.T. 3 (so)
    Feb 01 Lakehead 4 Ryerson 5
    Feb 01 R.M.C. 5 Queen's 6 (ot)
    Feb 01 W. Ontario 1 Laurier 0
    Feb 02 Calgary 7 Regina 0
    Feb 02 Lethbridge 4 Manitoba 5
    Feb 02 Saskatchewan 1 Alberta 4
    Feb 02 U.B.C. 5 Mount Royal 1
    Feb 02 New Brunswick 5 Saint Mary's 4
    Feb 02 U.P.E.I. 6 Acadia 3
    Feb 02 Dalhousie 7 St. F.X. 3
    Feb 02 Brock 2 Waterloo 3
    Feb 02 Guelph 3 York 2
    Feb 02 Lakehead 4 Windsor 1
    Feb 02 Nipissing 2 Laurentian 4
    Feb 02 Ottawa 3 Concordia 2
    Feb 02 Toronto 1 Laurier 0
    Feb 03 Calgary 4 Regina 3
    Feb 03 Lethbridge 3 Manitoba 7
    Feb 03 Saskatchewan 1 Alberta 3
    Feb 03 U.B.C. 0 Mount Royal 3
    Feb 03 Moncton 2 St. F.X. 5
    Feb 03 New Brunswick 3 Acadia 4 (ot)
    Feb 03 U.P.E.I. 1 Saint Mary's 9
    Feb 03 Brock 2 Windsor 5
    Feb 03 Concordia 3 R.M.C. 1
    Feb 03 Lakehead 2 W. Ontario 3 (ot)
    Feb 03 Laurentian 4 Nipissing 3 (ot)
    Feb 03 McGill 4 U.O.I.T. 3 (ot)
    Feb 03 Queen's 4 Carleton 3 (ot)
    Feb 03 Ryerson 5 Guelph 4
    Feb 03 Waterloo 0 Toronto 2
    Feb 04 U.Q.T.R. 0 Ottawa 4

    THE TABLE:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    * indicates total includes a tie game
    Conf. indicates overall conference record
    Con-x indicates exhibition record within conference
    CIS-x indicates exhibition record within CIS but outside conference
    CIS indicates regular season and exhibition record against CIS teams
    Other indicates record against non-CIS teams
    Total indicates record against all teams
    ∞ In the official standings, Calgary were penalized 2 wins against UBC, a win and OTL against Lethbridge, and an OTL against Alberta for use of an ineligible player. And UQTR was penalized 2 wins against Nipissing, Lakehead, Laurentian, a win and OTL against Queen's, two OTLs against RMC, and a win over Carleton.


    [​IMG]

    The promoted teams (in green) are McGill and UBC. No teams are in red (for those suffering a fall). The blue “bubble teams” are few in number. Ryerson clings to the B level, and Lethbridge could easily fall to C level either as a one-way shift, or perhaps to be replaced by Toronto or Windsor.

    With McGill and UBC moving up, the “AOA” numbers are skewed for many teams, owing to small sample sizes in some segments. So in four segments of the rankings (in purple) there was a departure from the AOA rankings. In those cases teams were better ranked using simple comparative records and strength-of-schedule within their division. In the CW, Sask stays in A and Manitoba in B with a slightly better AOA. In the B rankings, Concordia slips in between Queen's and Carleton. In C+ Ottawa slips behind UQTR in the OUA East while in the OUA West Brock slips down and UWO slips up in between Guelph and Laurier in a 4-team virtual dead heat.

    In a final note, UPEI and Dalhousie have been showing an ability to beat the good teams in the AUS. Maybe one of them could fill that empty C+ part of the AUS rankings.

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  4. Hollywood3

    Hollywood3 Bison/Jet/Moose Fan

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    THE OFFICIAL HOLLYWOOD TOP 35 #15​

    to Feb 10/18 (end of regular season)​

    Being the final ranking of the regular season, it was necessary to re-evaluate a lot of results and move teams to their final resting place. Two teams went up a level, and four moved down. The race for 1st was as close as possible. And most teams wound up being ranked as called for by the average of averages (“AOA”) ranking.

    THE SCORES:

    Feb 07 Laurier 4 Waterloo 2
    Feb 08 Saint Mary's 5 Moncton 1
    Feb 08 Windsor 5 W. Ontario 3
    Feb 08 York 2 Guelph 6
    Feb 09 Alberta 5 U.B.C. 4 (ot)
    Feb 09 Manitoba 1 Calgary 5
    Feb 09 Mount Royal 2 Saskatchewan 4
    Feb 09 Regina 2 Lethbridge 5
    Feb 09 Dalhousie 3 U.P.E.I. 6
    Feb 09 St. F.X. 2 New Brunswick 5
    Feb 09 Saint Mary's 0 Acadia 3
    Feb 09 Guelph 6 Ryerson 2
    Feb 09 Laurentian 1 U.O.I.T. 5
    Feb 09 McGill 3 Concordia 4 (so)
    Feb 09 Queen's 1 Ottawa 4
    Feb 09 Toronto 1 Brock 3
    Feb 09 U.Q.T.R. 2 Carleton 4
    Feb 09 Waterloo 4 Lakehead 5 (ot)
    Feb 09 R.M.C. 4 Nipissing 3 (ot)
    Feb 10 Alberta 3 U.B.C. 4
    Feb 10 Manitoba 1 Calgary 4
    Feb 10 Mount Royal 2 Saskatchewan 7
    Feb 10 Regina 6 Lethbridge 4
    Feb 10 Acadia 3 Moncton 2
    Feb 10 Dalhousie 1 New Brunswick 4
    Feb 10 St. F.X. 0 U.P.E.I. 5
    Feb 10 Brock 3 Ryerson 0
    Feb 10 Carleton 2 Concordia 4
    Feb 10 Laurier 4 Lakehead 1
    Feb 10 Nipissing 0 Queen's 5
    Feb 10 R.M.C. 2 Laurentian 5
    Feb 10 Toronto 1 York 6
    Feb 10 U.O.I.T. 3 Ottawa 4 (ot)
    Feb 10 W. Ontario 1 Windsor 7

    THE TABLE:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    * indicates total includes a tie game
    Conf. indicates overall conference record
    Con-x indicates exhibition record within conference
    CIS-x indicates exhibition record within CIS but outside conference
    CIS indicates regular season and exhibition record against CIS teams
    Other indicates record against non-CIS teams
    Total indicates record against all teams
    ∞ In the official standings, Calgary were penalized 2 wins against UBC, a win and OTL against Lethbridge, and an OTL against Alberta for use of an ineligible player. And UQTR was penalized 2 wins against Nipissing, Lakehead, Laurentian, a win and OTL against Queen's, two OTLs against RMC, and a win over Carleton.


    Table for interconference play.

    [​IMG]

    Table for comparative rankings skew.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Lethbridge tumbled from C+ to C and this change had reverberations throughout the CW, and caused UBC to tumble from B to C+. Also dropping from B to C+ were Ryerson and Queen's. Those dropping teams are in red. The promoted teams (in green) are Ottawa and UPEI.

    There are a few notable exceptions to the AOA rankings. Concordia, Carleton, and Ottawa get knocked down a bit in the OUA East. Guelph makes a major jump and Brock takes a tumble in the OUA west. The AUS and CW, with balanced schedules, generally get a reasonable internal ranking by the AOA calculation.

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