WarriorOfGandhi
Was saying Boo-urns
I tried raising this question in the main forum, but (perhaps unsurprisingly) it turned into a trolling/prospect-overhyping fest. I figured I'd bring it here to see if I could get some intelligent discussion out of the more august posters on HF.
Any thoughts?
I was perusing some statistics on development of defensemen and happened upon the 2006 draft. I think it's soon enough to start judging the merits of the draft class, and there's plenty of fantastic talent in it; Toews, Backstrom, Giroux, Stewart, Staal, Kessel, Lucic, Kulemin, Okposo. Notice a trend? A bevy of great forwards...defensemen...not so much. It takes awhile longer for goalies to develop, so we'll give the netminders of the 06 class more slack. But the defensemen?
Erik Johnson looks good, though he's by no means setting the world on fire, and 6th round pick Andrew MacDonald has already registered 100 career NHL games. But those two, along with Theo Peckham, Jaime McBain, and Mike Weber are pretty much it. Maybe one or two hopefuls left, but it's not looking like anyone will be able to offer more than spot duty on a bottom pairing, if that. Quite frankly, that's absolutely pathetic.
http://www.hockeydb.com/ihdb/draft/nhl2006e.html
Total NHL games played by defensemen of that draft: 756. The 2007 and 2008 draft classes have already lapped that figure (the 08 draft did it in the first 11 picks). Hedman, OEL, Kulikov, and Leddy combine for nearly 400 from '09 alone. What happened here?
You can take the cop-out route and say it's still too soon to judge, but these players will be 23 or 24 this upcoming season, and if a player hasn't made the bigs during his prime years in the early/mid 20s he likely isn't going to be more than a fringe player for most of his career. Look at the 2005 draft -- it produced two Norris candidates in Letang and Yandle and they weren't even 1st rounders.
Was 2006 the worst? EJ could conceivably put it all together and become the franchise defender he had been touted as, but if he doesn't, it appears that the 06 draft will never even sniff so much as a sad-sack fifth place Norris pity vote.
Has there been a worse draft for blueliners?
Any thoughts?