The only reason I don't hate this pick is because Paterson kind of stinks and I have no idea what to think about Perry.
[...] even if I think taking goalies is almost always a waste of a draft pick.
Why is that? Nearly every great goalie in the NHL was drafted. Even if later, they were drafted.
The best goalie last year was a 5th overall. In fact, of all the starting goalies around the league, there's a really high percentage of 1st round picks. Price, Dubnyk, Fleury, Lehtonen, Varlomov, Schnieder, Luongo, Ward, Bernier. After that, there's a bunch of 2nd and 3rd round picks. The minority is the undrafted goalie.
The best goalie prospects were all taken in the first couple rounds, too. I'd say goalie scouting is improving dramatically and the out of nowhere late bloomer will become more and more rare.
Saying that the best goalie last year was fifth overall is pretty silly too, since we won't know who the best goalie from that draft is for another ten years. Dude hasn't even played yet.
Bottom line, given the volatility of the position I don't believe it's ever an acceptable value proposition to take a goalie early. Take a late round guy one in a while, sign some undrafteds, and use your early picks on skaters with much, much better chance of playing.
First off, goalie development is almost a total crapshoot. There have been studies on goalie success vs draft position and there is much less correlation between draft spot and NHL success than with skaters. Case in point, how many of those first round goalies panned out for the team that drafted them? Half? Even if you draft a goalie that ends up being a keeper, odds are good you won't be the one to reap the benefits. That's even worse than picking a bust.
Second, you can only play one goalie at a time. Granted, it's more important to have a competent goalie than any other single player on the ice, but it also means you only need one every ten years or so. Organizational depth is important, but late round and undrafted goalies very often do just as well in that regard. Plus, per point one, there are always goalies that other teams have given up on that you can bring in and try to fix. Happens pretty regularly.
Saying that the best goalie last year was fifth overall is pretty silly too, since we won't know who the best goalie from that draft is for another ten years. Dude hasn't even played yet.
Bottom line, given the volatility of the position I don't believe it's ever an acceptable value proposition to take a goalie early. Take a late round guy one in a while, sign some undrafteds, and use your early picks on skaters with much, much better chance of playing.
Would much rather have Vehvilainen, who somehow didn't get drafted.
I see people who are not happy with this pick. I have not seen any video so I will just say wait for bout 5-7 years and if he is still around in the organization than be judgemental. Goalie was not a big need. I will give the Wings scouting staff the benefit of the doubt. They don't hit on every player but he maybe another PM!!
Carey Price.
Eh, whatever. I look at the great young goalies coming into the league and nearly all of them were taken in the first couple rounds. I think scouting has finally caught up in that area.
This guy getting tryout contracts from teams, perhaps?
I watched some video of him last night and what really stood out to me was his aggressiveness, compete level (never gives up to make a save; acrobatic) and quickness. Honestly, his style reminds me of Mrazek.