W.A.R Results 2007-12

By NHL WAR · Feb 8, 2020 · Updated Feb 8, 2020
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  1. NHL WAR
    WARNING: The following contains material consisting of the statistical construct Wins Above Replacement. If such a topic is not your cup of tea, there are countless other threads to spend your time perusing.



    If you are still reading there is a decent chance you have seen me ramble on about WAR before, but if not the link above should fill you in. The numbers for all forwards seasons from 2007-08 to 2011-12 have been crunched and I would like to share the results.

    First off, here are the top 15 individual seasons from that time frame (all columns except WAR are measured in "goals" not wins):

    PlayerShootingPassingDefenceFaceoffsPenalty
    Differential
    Rep.WAR
    Alex Ovechkin (07-08)405106179
    Evgeni Malkin (11-12)27241-12148.8
    Alex Ovechkin (09-10)3019200148.5
    Henrik Sedin (09-10)542100148.2
    Pavel Datsyuk (07-08)725716158
    Sidney Crosby (09-10)2418-12-1157.8
    Henrik Zetterberg (07-08)2212424147.6
    Zach Parise (08-09)2411503137.4
    Pavel Datsyuk (08-09)1023423137.3
    Daniel Sedin (10-11)1722200137.2
    Nicklas Backstrom (09-10)82930-1157.1
    Jarome Iginla (07-08)248203157
    Alex Ovechkin (08-09)317-200167
    Joe Thornton (07-08)225413156.7
    Claude Giroux (11-12)824-214146.7
    Do note that it is highly unlikely that WAR is accurate down to the last decimal point. Zach Parise at 7.4 or Daniel Sedin's 7.2, for example, is a toss up.


    Next up is the cumulative leaders in each component of WAR. In this case, the units are again "goals" not "wins".

    ShootingPassingDefence
    BestAlex Ovechkin129Henrik Sedin153Pavel Datsyuk28
    Steven Stamkos81Joe Thornton118Dainius Zubrus16
    Marian Gaborik73Nicklas Backstrom99Johan Franzen16
    Jeff Carter72Ryan Getzlaf90Daymond Langkow16
    Jarome Iginla65Sidney Crosby87Jonathan Toews16
    Ilya Kovalchuk65Pavel Datsyuk86Patrik Elias15
    Rick Nash64Evgeni Malkin85Ryan Getzlaf13
    Sidney Crosby63Daniel Sedin78Patrice Bergeron12
    Phil Kessel62Martin St.Louis73Daniel Sedin11
    Corey Perry60Mike Ribeiro66Ryan Kesler11
    WorstCraig Adams-31Eric Nystrom-33Jeff Carter-15
    Travis Moen-34Cal Clutterbuck-35Ethan Moreau-15
    Jerred Smithson-38Travis Moen-35Scott Hartnell-16
    Scott Gomez-40David Clarkson-38Eric Staal-17
    Samuel Pahlsson-46Jerred Smithson-39Joffrey Lupul-20


    FaceoffsPenalty DifferentialReplacement
    BestManny Malholtra13Dustin Brown34Martin St.Louis78
    David Steckel11Martin St.Louis19Ilya Kovalchuk76
    Patrice Bergeron11Pavel Datysuk17Jarome Iginla74
    Antoine Vermette11Zach Parise15Anze Kopitar74
    Jonathan Toews10Jarome Iginla13Alex Ovechkin73
    Jarret Stoll9Erik Cole13Eric Staal73
    Rod Brind`amour9Darren Helm12Joe Thornton71
    Paul Gaustad9Anze Kopitar12Patrick Marleau70
    Ryan Kesler9Evgeni Malkin12Dany Heatley70
    Boyd Gordon7Rick Nash11Corey Perry69
    WorstOlli Jokinen-6Todd Bertuzzi-11
    Evgeni Malkin-7Ryan Getzlaf-12
    Mike Ribeiro-7Jarret Stoll-12
    Eric Staal-7Mike Knuble-12
    Andrew Cogliano-8Chris Neil-13


    Finally, here are the 25 most (and 5 least) valuable forwards over that time frame.

    RankPlayer07-12 WAR
    1Alex Ovechkin32.7
    2Pavel Datsyuk30.6
    3Daniel Sedin27.7
    4Sidney Crosby27.6
    5Evgeni Malkin27.5
    6Henrik Sedin26.8
    7Joe Thornton26.3
    8Henrik Zetterberg25.6
    9Jonathan Toews23
    10Martin St.Louis23
    11Patrick Kane21.6
    12Anze Kopitar21.5
    13Nicklas Backstrom21.1
    14Corey Perry19.8
    15Marian Hossa19.7
    16Jason Spezza19.6
    17Marian Gaborik19.2
    18Patrick Marleau18.7
    19Eric Staal18.6
    20Rick Nash18.5
    21Ilya Kovalchuk18.3
    22Joe Pavelski18.3
    23Steven Stamkos18.3
    24Patrik Elias18
    25Ryan Kesler17.9


    07-12 WAR
    Colton Orr-4.9
    Raitis Ivanans-4
    Jerred Smithson-3.9
    Ethan Moreau-3.6
    Travis Moen-3.4
    If you found this interesting, I have some more yearly best and worst data here: Forwards WAR Results from 2007-12.

    During the all star break, I also ran the numbers for forwards this season. Here is the top 10:

    WAR
    DAVID.PASTRNAK (BOS)4.9
    NATHAN.MACKINNON (COL)4.9
    ARTEMI.PANARIN (NYR)4.8
    CONNOR.MCDAVID (EDM)4.7
    BRAD.MARCHAND (BOS)4.5
    AUSTON.MATTHEWS (TOR)4.2
    LEON.DRAISAITL (EDM)4.1
    JONATHAN.HUBERDEAU (FLA)4
    NIKITA.KUCHEROV (T.B)3.6
    EVGENI.MALKIN (PIT)3.6

    If you have any questions or data requests, I am happy to oblige.​

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