Is Mark Jankowski the most unlucky player in the last few seasons?

By JackFr · Dec 8, 2019 · Updated Dec 10, 2019
  1. JackFr
    After scoring 32 points last season, Calgary Flames centre Mark Jankowski has scored zero points in 27 games so far this season. That sucks for him, but plenty of players have 0 points so far.

    However, he also has not been on the ice for a single goal his team has scored all season. Cristoffer Ehn of the Red Wings is the only other player in the league to play over 150 minutes without getting to celebrate a goal.

    Now this all sounds like he just sucks. But wait...

    Jankowski also has an expected goals for rate of 55.8% - good enough to be at the 86th percentile in the entire league. That's especially impressive on the Flames - Jankowski's relative xGF% is 90th percentile. It's expected that Jankowski should have been on the ice for about 8 goals for this season, not zero.

    Why? Because Jankowski has a PDO of 87, the lowest in the league. When he's on the ice, his goalies stop only 87% of the shots they face (CGY average is 91%), and obviously his teammates score on 0% of their shots (CGY average is 6%).

    To summarize:

    Mark Jankowski
    • 0G, 0A, 0P in 27 games
    • 2.3 expected goals (0 actual)
    • 55.8 xGF% (0% actual)
    • 7.2% xGF relative (-48% actual)
    • 8 on-ice expected goals (0 actual)
    • 87 PDO

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