Some of you may remember my 2017-18 WAR leaders thread last fall. I have been tinkering with the formula and values all season. One of the major differences is the incorporation of XG. Pretty happy with the formula for forwards now. Plugged the stats from this season in ( all data via Corsica) and these are the results. Keep in mind these are wins over an AVERAGE forward.... I haven't factored in replacement level yet. I added in the players points at time of data retrieval and the difference between their point rank and WAA rank for comparison. Let me know any questions you have over the formula or feel free to ask for a specific player or teams WAA. Without further ado, here are the top 50 forwards in WAA so far this season:
Player WAA WAA RANK P P RANK DIFF JOHNNY.GAUDREAU 6.128512221 1 67 4 3 SIDNEY.CROSBY 5.362945161 2 60 13 11 NIKITA.KUCHEROV 5.280678949 3 80 1 -2 JOHN.TAVARES 5.064644295 4 54 19 15 ARTEMI.PANARIN 4.861820101 5 61 9 4 BRAYDEN.POINT 4.515709673 6 65 5 -1 CONNOR.MCDAVID 4.492383551 7 72 2 -5 DAVID.PASTRNAK 4.22800545 8 61 10 2 JAKE.GUENTZEL 4.152420139 9 50 28 19 SEAN.MONAHAN 4.035372228 10 56 17 7 MITCH.MARNER 4.008122613 11 60 12 1 STEVEN.STAMKOS 3.949058578 12 61 11 -1 AUSTON.MATTHEWS 3.869812092 13 45 48 35 PATRICE.BERGERON 3.523106519 14 46 47 33 ELIAS.PETTERSSON 3.477212845 15 48 37 22 MARK.STONE 3.390702975 16 50 30 14 RYAN.O'REILLY 3.38217774 17 50 32 15 TIMO.MEIER 3.31813091 18 42 61 43 LEON.DRAISAITL 3.25986298 19 63 6 -13 NATHAN.MACKINNON 3.242308186 20 63 8 -12 BRAD.MARCHAND 3.193304987 21 57 15 -6 EVANDER.KANE 3.17269938 22 47 39 17 JOE.PAVELSKI 3.150342164 23 46 45 22 SEBASTIAN.AHO 3.147294103 24 52 22 -2 TOMAS.HERTL 3.065915985 25 45 51 26 MATT.DUCHENE 3.059592806 26 45 50 24 JEFF.SKINNER 3.030674388 27 46 44 17 PATRICK.KANE 2.951518802 28 68 3 -25 CAM.ATKINSON 2.907013342 29 50 27 -2 ELIAS.LINDHOLM 2.776049336 30 51 23 -7 JACK.EICHEL 2.703082453 31 51 26 -5 TYLER.SEGUIN 2.573144023 32 49 35 3 VIKTOR.ARVIDSSON 2.541931647 33 28 122 89 TOMAS.TATAR 2.504676418 34 39 70 36 BRENDAN.GALLAGHER 2.376538312 35 34 88 53 MATTHEW.TKACHUK 2.374989921 36 48 38 2 LOGAN.COUTURE 2.363713866 37 47 40 3 PHILLIP.DANAULT 2.361665416 38 36 82 44 MIKKO.RANTANEN 2.313485943 39 63 7 -32 GUSTAV.NYQUIST 2.269899893 40 44 52 12 ALEX.OVECHKIN 2.239740593 41 57 14 -27 DYLAN.LARKIN 2.161235373 42 43 57 15 RYAN.JOHANSEN 2.145086411 43 44 54 11 ALEX.TUCH 2.11802883 44 38 72 28 CLAUDE.GIROUX 2.087347078 45 53 21 -24 MATHEW.BARZAL 2.072003948 46 47 41 -5 FILIP.FORSBERG 2.071046599 47 28 116 69 MARK.SCHEIFELE 1.965360429 48 54 20 -28 CHRIS.KREIDER 1.934799052 49 42 60 11 PIERRE-LUC.DUBOIS 1.910724547 50 43 58 8