National Hockey League

Articles focused on the games, players, and teams around the NHL.

Some of you may remember my 2017-18 WAR leaders thread last fall. I have been tinkering with the formula and values all season. One of the major differences is the incorporation of XG. Pretty happy with the formula for forwards now. Plugged the stats from this season in ( all data via Corsica) and these are the results. Keep in mind these are wins over an AVERAGE forward.... I haven't factored in replacement level yet. I added in the players points at time of data retrieval and the...
Just got curious and did a quick spreadsheet over coffee. It doesn't make a ton of difference overall, but when it does make a difference I think I like it. Like Chicago and Colorado, for example. And I like the fact that there's a little more separation between teams, but maybe that goes against the parity that the league wants.
The TDL is approaching, and all the trade discussion seems to revolve around mortgaging a team's future for rentals. Myself, I don't agree one bit with this approach; it is evident that buying at TDL is a prime example of the practice of buying high, and often times you won't get much bang for your buck. Below is a list of all the 'expensive' trade deadline rentals from 2015 to this date (this cutoff is based on my own knowledge of these trades; I don't want to review deals which I don't...
Who doesn't love chaos? I sure do, and it seems like for a long time, the NHL did too. It wasn't uncommon to see players finishing their careers in the 80s/90s/00s with 1000+ PIMS, but most of those guys never had much of a scoring touch, they were goons. Their job was to take penalties for the sake of physically intimidating the other team or just to cause pure chaos on the ice and hope that it benefited your team in the end. But there have been a few players in the history of the NHL...
I would like to share with you team rankings based on the ELO rating system. This is purely mathematical based on wins and losses. Each team has a score. That score increases or decreases based on wins and losses. The amount of change is based on the score of the opponent.
This was inspired by a thread on another forum and the research done by another poster, but I think it merits some discussion. It doesn’t make sense that in the 11 years since Lowe was “fired” from the Oilers, three GM's have come through the door and almost all the moves look and feel indistinguishable from the GM before them. Some Bruins fans rip on Chai, but at a time he was an undisputed brilliant executive. But becoming....this? It doesn't make sense. After doing some research into...
Since we are (roughly) half-way through the season, I thought it would be a good time to see which players are the absolute "cream of the crop" for their positions (centre, wings, defense and goal). NOTE: this is going by their "listed positions" on NHL.com, not necessarily where they play the bulk of their ice-time. Centre McDavid MacKinnon Crosby Matthews Point Bergeron Scheifele Eichel Tavares Barkov HM: Monahan, Stamkos, Duchene, Lindholm Wing Kucherov Rantenen Gaudreau Ovechkin...
This is going to be about anyone from star players to solid players who aren't preforming up too scratch this season. This top 10 is in no particular order and is my personal opinion with analytics to back up my picks I figured this was a good time to do this because 1. Anze Kopitar After a dynamite 92 point season LA fans had to be expecting a little bit more from him but with just 27 points with just 9 goals in 41 games Kopitar hasn't been able to get the ball rolling all season also just...
Is Tampa Bay the best roster in the Cap era and possibly beyond that? I believe they definitely have a case for it. Breaking down the team: Kucherov: a top 3 winger in the league, no one will argue that. He's consistent and has tons of talent. 90-100 points Stamkos: a top sniper, elite talent, has regained form after a hard run of injuries, and is a 80-90 point guy. Point: an absolute steal for the lightning. Point keeps proving his value over and over and has proven many people wrong....
Just read the thread about the 2015 draft comparing it to the 2003 draft, both extraordinary but 2015 already looks to better with many players on track for Hall of Fame careers. So I went and looked at the 2003 draft, this class is now at 1000 games give or take 100 games so their careers are pretty much defined as they are close to retirement though there are some if they play 4-5 more years at a good level might make the difference. So who is Hall of Fame bound and who isn't? Here's who...
Since the league expanded from just 6 teams, which teams have been the most successful? IMO, the top 10 would be: 1. Montreal Canadiens: 10 cups; 11 finals - 82 total team/individual awards won Cup winning years (1968, 1969, 1971, 1973, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1979, 1986, 1993) 2. Pittsburgh Penguins: 5 cups; 6 finals - 76 total team/individual awards won Cup winning years (1991, 1992, 2009, 2016, 2017) 3. Edmonton Oilers: 5 cups; 7 finals - 59 total team/individual awards won Cup winning years...
I've had an idea about changing the offside rule for a while now - I can't remember exactly when I first had it, and I may have seen it somewhere else. If this has been proposed before, feel free to post a source so it can get credit. Essentially, what I am proposing is a dynamic blue-line, very similar to offside in soccer. The offside line would no longer always be the blue-line, but would instead be a line parallel to the blue-line located where the furthest back defender is. The...
List is made up on a combination of tangible stats (goals, assists, etc.) as well as underlying metrics (CF%, rel CF%, xGF%, etc.)
Alright everybody I wanna hear about how your players have been doing this season. Grade them/rank them/describe them; I don't care how you do it. For :flames: Johnny Gaudreau - A- he's been pretty standard, creating plays all the time. Sean Monahan - A- same as Gaudreau really, just finishing rather than creating. He looks stronger on the puck than before. Elias Lindholm - A better than I could have hoped for and much more skilled than I expected. He's the defensive conscience of the...
We are at the quarter mark of the season and it seems like the highest scoring season in a long time. We have 50 players producing at PPG pace or better! So let's take a look at the top 20 scorers (since I didn't feel like doing the top 50) and compare their up-to-date production against their career production and see which players are likely going to sustain their pace, improve it or see it degrade over the course of the season. I have used ioSH% (on-ice shooting percentage) as the...
Tracking the moves of the NHL's most active GM.
Due to the nature and speed in which the NHL is evolving this contract is about a lot more than just William Nylander and the Toronto Maple Leafs. The last several years the league has seen an incredible influx of young talent that have proven to be impact players much sooner than previous decades. This season might see more players in the first 5 years of their pro career in the top 60 of scoring than ever before. Traditionally players coming off an ELC are usually signed to reasonable mid...
Defense is more than just the level of skill in the guys playing. It is a system. Then I started thinking about other teams that have good defense but don't see the results.
Each year I keep a list of each team's offseason (since the trade deadline) acquisitions and subtractions. I've tried to summarize them here, as some people might find it useful or interesting. The formatting kind of sucks right now, and hopefully I'll figure out a new way to present it that will be easy to set up. Legend Free Agency Trade Draft Waivers Buyout/Termination/Retired Unsigned Draft Pick Non-Qualified RFA ANA - Reto Berra (G) - Kevin Bieksa (D) - Jared Boll (F) - J.T....
Jim Nill and the Dallas Stars need a banner year this upcoming season. Benn and Seguin’s primes will only last for so long, and the Stars need more success (namely, playoff success) before their elite talent runs out. A team that’s often been surprisingly difficult to garner expectations for, Dallas has a rather bizarre history since Jim Nill took over the team. Two playoff appearances, including one as the top seed in the Western Conference, have given this team a taste of success. But...
There's been a lot of talk this offseason about tax. Certain teams have an unfair advantage due to having lower taxes than other who have high taxes. Tampa Bay tends to be the main team people are complaining about, although others like Dallas, Nashville get lumped in as well. So I wanted to really explore this idea. Do teams with low tax rates have more success? And do teams with high tax rates have less? The hypothesis people seem to be making is that teams with low tax have an unfair...
Well, it's that time of year again! Time to start measuring up a wholly inconsequential and non-predictive stat! Who will be this year's Preseason Champion!? Team GP SSG W L OT Pts Pt% OTW OTL SOW SOL GF GA +/- ANA603306 0.500 00001923-4 ARI724219 0.643 010024213 BOS8451212 0.750 022024213 BUF703406 0.429 00002024-4 CGY10543311 0.550 020138380 CAR6050111 0.917 1100281315 CHI602404 0.333 00001921-2 COL603306 0.500 10001726-9 CBJ803506 0.375 00002132-11 DAL704219 0.643 010025214 DET8071014...
I thought with the CHL season starting, and with NHL camps starting to make cuts, it would be interesting to see what notable prospects have been sent back to the CHL, Europe or AHL camp. I got this idea after checking out the Soo vs Saginaw tonight to notice that Morgan Frost was already back (a bit of a surprise, I thought he'd last a bit longer in camp), while Saginaw is without Bode Wilde. Try not to clog this thread up with marginal guys. Lets try to keep it to 1st rounders of the last...
I mentioned this the day of the trade, but with the Karlsson transaction having included Chris Tierney and Rudolfs Balcers ( :cry: ), the trade extended the life of a chain of deals that can be traced unbroken back all the way to the 1993 draft and the Sharks' first round pick that year. So in honor of that, I have spent the last few days creating what might be my magnum opus: a complete visual reference to the greatest trade tree in Sharks history and possibly one of the greatest in NHL...
Well we put it to the poll open to all members and here are the results. Thanks to everyone participating again this year and we will see how wrong we are again next spring :laugh: Biggest risers from our rankings last year are Las Vegas, Winnipeg, Boston, Colorado, LA and Philly. The biggest droppers are Edmonton, Ottawa, NYR, Chicago, Montreal and Anahiem. Follow this link to see links to individual polls:...
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