Blue Jays Discussion: Would rather get punched in May than knocked out in October - ALCS bound!

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theaub

34-38-61-10-13-15
Nov 21, 2008
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Super tough to give advice IMO

If the Jays win tonight + tomorrow its going to skyrocket up. If they lose tonight + tomorrow it will kind of crash. A split will keep it the same.

If it was me, I'd buy either now or maybe pull a slight hedge and wait until tomorrow morning and see if they lose tonight.
 

Apotheosis

Registered User
Mar 27, 2014
11,605
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Toronto, Ontario
I think you can argue that he is pretty easily.

Through age 28 season:

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.as...=0&team=22&rost=0&age=14,28&filter=&players=0

1. Kershaw: 1,757.0 IP, 53.4 fWAR, 2.37 ERA, 2.55 FIP
2. Drysdale: 2,574.2 IP, 48.1 fWAR, 2.96 ERA, 3.07 FIP
3. Sutton: 2,014.0 IP, 37.2 fWAR, 3.02 ERA, 2.72 FIP
4. Valenzuela: 2,123.0 IP, 35.7 fWAR, 3.22 ERA, 3.22 FIP
5. Koufax: 1,665.2 IP, 35.5 fWAR, 3.11 ERA, 2.96 FIP

Entire career:

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.as...=0&team=22&rost=0&age=14,58&filter=&players=0

Kershaw could legitimately surpass Sutton for the lead in fWAR in two seasons, likely even before that 2nd season ends. Same amount of CYA's as Koufax, and he should win this year too but they probably won't give it to him.

In terms of rWAR his 7 year peak has already surpassed Drysdale, Sutton, Koufax, Valenzuela, and is comparable to Dazzy Vance. His JAWS is right around the back end of the HoF SPs (ahead of Koufax, Sabathia, Greinke, and Johan Santana). He's basically an HoFer at the age of 28.

I just don't think his peak will ever be as good as Koufax. Close, but... I don't know.
 

ACC1224

Super Elite, Passing ALL Tests since 2002
Aug 19, 2002
73,760
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Super tough to give advice IMO

If the Jays win tonight + tomorrow its going to skyrocket up. If they lose tonight + tomorrow it will kind of crash. A split will keep it the same.

If it was me, I'd buy either now or maybe pull a slight hedge and wait until tomorrow morning and see if they lose tonight.

Kind of what I'm thinking. Secretly hoping though some may panic Monday and drop the price.
 
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