It means that the top15 is talent that is significantly easier to evaluate. That's all. I don't think it's a big shock that there's a small group of players every drafts that you can almost be assured will succeed in the NHL and that everyone else is a question mark. It says that for all the vaunted knowledge of the "experts," once you get outside the top15, everything is a coin toss at best. Some more numbers. 18 total forwards out of 1312 drafted have achieved .795 ppg + 100 GP. That's the PPG of the top3 forwards drafted which I'm using as a proxy for "elite" players. 14 were in the first round. .36% of finding them in the 2nd round and beyond. Less than HALF A PERCENT. Between 2005-2015, not a single team drafted more than 1 of these players outside the first round. Only 4 teams even drafted 2 such players in those 10 years and 3 of those 4 teams drafted them in the first round. Chicago, Edmonton, Boston. Only 4/1102 forwards that were chosen outside the first round achieved .795 PPG and played 100+ games. That's statistical noise. That's luck. That's utter randomness. Defense is slightly better. 15 d-men outside the first round got a .4 PPG and 100+ GP. Again that PPG is the top3 picks. That's 15/675 picks giving you 2.2%. You have a 19.4% chance of finding such a player in the entire first round, nearly 9x higher. I haven't separated the actual top3 picks from this so expect picks 4-30 to be worse than 19.4%. Anaheim drafted 2/4 of these d-men from the 2nd round on down. St. Louis, Nashville, did 1/3. Pittsburgh did 2/2. Everyone else did either 1 or 0. Mostly 0. So Anaheim, who did the best at drafting these elite level d-men, did so at only 9.1%. Takeaway is that in 10 years of drafting, in almost 700 picks, only 15 "elite" d-men were found. And the spread in "success" among teams ranged from 0-2 players found outside the 1st round.