Some quick thoughts:
Light Heavyweight Championship bout: Daniel Cormier (c) vs. Jon Jones - Until Jones loses, I'm not picking against him. Yes there's ring rust on Jones, but Cormier is going to have the exact same issues with Jones that he had originally. He's not long enough and not quick enough. The main question in the first fight was whether or not Cormier could take him down and go to work, and the answer was he couldn't. What's changed? Jones via decision, 49-46.
Welterweight Championship bout: Tyron Woodley (c) vs. Demian Maia - I would love to see Maia win this fight, and I would have probably picked him to beat Thompson if they were fighting 5 rounds. There's an obviously path to victory for him - take him down and submit him. I just think 3 minutes into this fight we are going to have that moment where it's obvious Maia can't take Woodley down and you have a sitting duck. I think you'll see a fight where Woodley drops Maia multiple times and eventually finishes an old and tired looking Maia in round 3 or 4. I want to be wrong here. I want Maia to win, and I want Maia vs GSP. But.. Woodley via TKO, round 4.
Women's Featherweight Championship bout: Cyborg Justino vs. Tonya Evinger - I don't pretend to know a ton about Tonya Evinger, but those who do say this is a much tougher fight for Cyborg than any of the other options at 145. I'm not about to pick a +600 or +700 underdog, but I'll say this - if Evinger can survive the first 10 minutes, things get interesting. I can see a scenario where Cyborg is up 3 rounds, Evinger takes her down grinds away in round 4 and we have a really intriguing round 5 where everyone thinks Evinger has a legit shot. Cyborg by KO is the easy choice, but I'm going with a Cyborg decision with some weird scorecards.
Welterweight bout: Robbie Lawler vs. Donald Cerrone - This feels like one of those fights that's great on paper that just doesn't live up to the hype. I like Lawler to win by decision, likely a close 29-28 or split decision win.
Light Heavyweight bout: Jimi Manuwa vs. Volkan Oezdemir - Oezdemir has looked great, but he still seems like a blown-up 185lb guy to me. Give me Manuwa by first round TKO.
PRELIMINARY CARD (FXX, TSN 5)
Featherweight bout: Ricardo Lamas vs. Jason Knight - Lamas is tough, but this fight is setup for Knight to look great. I think he wins an easy 30-27 decision and has people buzzing about whose next for him.
Catchweight (140 lbs) bout: Aljamain Sterling vs. Renan Barao - Sterling has just been so unimpressive recently. I have no idea what to think of Barao anymore. I think we've got a boring fight here, but Barao by split decision.
As for the rest of the fights, the only thing really jumping out to me is that I do think Ortega and Dober get wins.
For betting:
Evinger is around +650. I don't think it happens, but might be worth throwing a few dollars down.
Jason Knight is around even odds.. love that one.
Ortega at +130 or whatever, love that too.
Probably will stay away from the rest.