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The Advanced Stats Thread Episode VI: RIP To Our Databases

Discussion in 'New York Rangers' started by Bob Richards, Aug 20, 2017.

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  1. Bob Richards

    Bob Richards Mr. Mojo Risin'

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  2. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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  3. ManUtdTobbe

    ManUtdTobbe Registered User

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  4. Griffinbw

    Griffinbw Registered User

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  5. Mac n Gs

    Mac n Gs Gorton plz

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    I wish I could quote the post, but that argument about McD vs Subban that irish brought up was interesting
     
  6. Irishguy42

    Irishguy42 Registered User Sponsor

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    Next best thing you could do would be is to just link to the single comment so everyone knew what you were talking about ;)

    http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=135301039&postcount=1002

    I did think it was pretty interesting of Hohl to bring up on the PDOcast, and his Twitter post that followed reminded me of it.

    I think McDonagh will have a superb year now that Girardi is gone.
     
  7. Mac n Gs

    Mac n Gs Gorton plz

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    Thanks! I think the Girardi effect will definitely be noticeable, even moreso if he plays with Shatty
     
  8. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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    If Corsica wasn't coming back, I'd think about putting a site together (read: trying to learn how to do that and then failing), but I don't have the patience or money or hardware to pull that off.
     
  9. JungleBeat

    JungleBeat Registered User

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    How did you get a link to a single post?
     
  10. Bob Richards

    Bob Richards Mr. Mojo Risin'

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    Above each post on the right hand side is a little number designating its position in a given thread. Just click that number.
     
  11. Irishguy42

    Irishguy42 Registered User Sponsor

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    [​IMG]
     
  12. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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  13. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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    Athanasiou doesn't move the needle much on shot attempts (-1.24 CF%rel last year). His scoring rate was fantastic though (1.94 points per 60 | 1.28 goals per 60 | 15.99 shot attempts per 60). Those would've ranked T-4th, 2nd, and 2nd on the team last year, respectively. http://naturalstattrick.com

    If we're going into the season with the crap center-depth that's currently on the roster, you have to subset it with good wingers. If AA is on the block, you have to call Holland. Jagr is a free agent, absurd he hasn't been signed. Complement your crap center depth with good wingers.

    20 - 93 - 89
    61 - 13 - 36
    AA - 10 - 68
    19 - DD - 40
    26-12
     
  14. RoarLionRoar

    RoarLionRoar Registered User

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    For any Python programmers / developers, take a look at the this library. Happy programming!:)
     
  15. Greg02

    Greg02 Registered User

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    It honestly wouldn't be a tremendous undertaking, especially if you start small. Wouldn't recommend backing it with R code though.

    Awesome; I'll be sure to check it out next time I get the itch to answer some analytical question.
     
  16. coz21

    coz21 Skrillllllz

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    I love this thread. It's by far the most polite on the Ranger board and you guys make me feel dumber here then smarter when talking to my friends.
     
  17. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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    The past two iterations, maybe. There have been some serious battles in these threads though :laugh:
     
  18. coz21

    coz21 Skrillllllz

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    I've read most of them and those are still more polite
     
  19. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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    Things that are funny to me:

    Stat-line prediction threads. You can go in there, and spout off whatever numbers you want with no basis, and nobody cares. But if someone went in there with an analytical study that said, here's what I expect for players this year based on historical performance, similar players, and age trends. Well, people would lose their minds.

    For the past week or so, I've only been posting in two threads on HFNYR; this one, and the football thread. Lurking everywhere else. It's been nice.
     
  20. Mac n Gs

    Mac n Gs Gorton plz

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    You may as well write a thesis on why JT Miller keeps defying regression and screwing up your models :laugh:

    The other threads have been something else lately
     
  21. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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    JT Miller's shooting % is the reason I have trust issues. I remember looking into it when Corsica was up ( :( ). He's out-pacing his ixG like crazy. I published this in February this past year:

    Seems to me that Miller's "crash and burn" comes in the playoffs every year.
     
  22. Mac n Gs

    Mac n Gs Gorton plz

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    Yeah I'd agree with that, albeit it's weird to see his goal:assist splt be 1:15. Which when you think about it, it's ****ing bonkers that he has 40 playoff games and 1 goal. He and Hayes suck in the playoffs. Regression is a *****
     
  23. silverfish

    silverfish Not a GM

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    I still have a hard time drawing conclusions from the "1 goal in 40 games" narrative. It's misleading, IMO. Sure, it's 40 games, but it's not like it's 40 straight games. And it's not like all 40 games happened in the same year. We're talking 40 games since 2014. 4, 19, 5, 12.

    It's discouraging, but, not something I'd really hold over JT. It's a "funny" juxtaposition for him though.

    Bad playoff performer vs. good playoff performer is a narrative I'd like to kill completely, but understand that will never happen.

    I miss you, 21.
     
    Last edited: Aug 24, 2017
  24. Mac n Gs

    Mac n Gs Gorton plz

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    Yeah that's what I meant with how the statline looks weird, and I do agree his play has been discouraging. I still want to see him completely separated from Kevin Hayes before making more conclusions about his playoff performance
     
  25. Ola

    Ola Registered User Sponsor

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    There is this one guy called SilverFish, stay away from him and you will do well (we are forced blocked from each other)!

    Everyone else here is really friendly! :sarcasm:
     
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