I went back and found some of the posts, still looking for the one that said would not jump in and disrupt a team, but I will, until then this is what my point was:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smitty426 
This coming Monday Lee's salary will be about $180,000 for the rest of the year. What do you have to offer that would make us retain on a guy putting up those #s on the worst offensive team in the league?
He's putting those numbers up because he is getting good minutes. He's not going to get those on any contender.
What's more likely?
1. Lee Stempniak is out and having his best season since 2006-2007 at the age of 33.
2. His production is inflated from a sky high on ice shooting percentage, heavy o-zone starts and top minutes, and will end up disappointing the team who acquires him when all those factors disappear.
I expect him to get a similar return to Hudler, if he's traded at all.
He's shooting .3% better than he did last year and only 2.6% higher than his career average. It's not really sky-high.
War-on-ice has him at roughly even numbers of starts in all 3 zones..
He's playing about 18 minutes a game.. about 2 minutes more than his career average. More minutes, yes.. but not that inflated.
I think it's pretty likely you are exaggerating a lot, actually.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smitty426 
Ok I guess I get it
But your buying for today!
He's having a banner season, that is what a GM is paying for
They aren't worrying on how lee will do next year IF he resigns with us. They want him to continue what he has done in Jersey
My point is they're not gonna pay for his production from this year, they're gonna pay for what he's done for most of his career. He's playing on the Devils 1st line. He most likely won't be doing that on a contending team. Any team acquiring him that plans on using him in the middle 6 will be paying for the 0.53 PPG Stempniak and not the 0.65 PPG Stempniak.
What contending team is gonna put him on their first line and play him 18 minutes a night? Any contender he gets traded to will probably only play him 15 minutes a night.
Playing on first line with Marchand and Bergeron
Played 17:52 VS Fla last night
Stempniak's numbers are highly inflated from playing top minutes. He's not going to go to a cup contender and play the same minutes. Therefore, he's not worth, to other teams, what he's worth to the Devils.
Career high numbers for a 33 year old since 06-07. He's playing a role he shouldn't play, therefore, his numbers are inflated. Back to where he should be on a legit cup contender, with his usual production..he's good for about 8-10 points for the rest of the year. He's not as valuable to other teams because he won't produce how he has for the Devils.
As I said he will cool off but he's already got 6 of those 8 to 10 mentioned above.