Disagree. Montour arguably already has. He hasnt been terrific so far this year but no one aside of Cogs has and he is being asked to carry Beauch around the ice.
I think it's too early to say he has, but I think some people forget exactly what you just said in regards to Beauchemin. Is Montour playing great right now? No, but he's been solid. Just kind of underperformed on the offensive side of his game. However, as you mentioned, he's been paired with an old Beauchemin, who should not be in the top 4 right now. I personally think it's too early to say he's replaced Vatanen, but I think it's unfair to say he's not top 4 material either. I would say that he's not ready to carry a top 4 pairing role, but I expect to see a much different player when/if he's paired with Lindholm so I'll reserve judgement until then.
That shouldn't matter, we need someone who can play in our top 4 and right now Montour can't do that. Plus Montour has be far from terrific this year. This is becoming a similar situation we had with Theo, great first season with us, tons of hope for him and the next season he takes a HUGE step back. We shouldn't be moving Vats until we know Montour can handle the work load, which right now he can't.
I disagree. I think you're ignoring some pretty important details while saying this.
First off, the difference between Theodore's sophomore season and Montour's is that Theodore was showing some bigger concerns. He was constantly getting beat wide, making poor reads, etc. He was also doing all of this in a sheltered, bottom pairing role. Montour is having nowhere near the amount of issues that Theodore had, and he's doing it while playing 3rd most minutes on our defense.
Secondly, like I just mentioned to DavidBL, I think it's too early to judge Montour in a top 4 role this year, but let's not ignore that he's being paired with Beauchemin, who is absolutely NOT a top 4 defenseman. I have a feeling that when we see Montour paired with Lindholm or Fowler, he's going to be a lot better. Again, I'd say it's too early to judge them, but if I had to say right now, I'd say he's not ready to carry a top 4 pair, but I think he's fine in a top 4 role with a stronger partner.