I put qualifiers on the success of everyone on the team. I prefer to critically analyze as opposed to gush. I'm a fan, not a homer.
He shot at 18.6% this year, after years of 8.6% and 11.8%. That's not sustainable, especially when his shots were essentially the same the last two years (169/177). A dip to 11% puts him back under 20 goals. Not a terribly unreasonable thing to say.
He's crappy at faceoffs. Not poor, crappy. He has one move that gets him kicked out what appears to be 50% of the time.
Because of this, his line requires sheltering, and gets next to no defensive zone starts. He has 325 defensive zone faceoffs TOTAL in the last 3 regular seasons. 36 the last 3 playoffs (less than one per game, granted he wasn't at center the last year, but 36 in 23 games the prior two years is still **** poor).
He has a tendency to be a puckhog and lose the puck because he tries to go through 2-3 guys instead of making a simple pass.
He at times will stay to the outside and not be effective against heavy teams.
He's not shown the ability to be the guy to carry a line.
He's nothing special defensively.
He's one of the highest skill/creativity forwards on the team.
He has the confidence to try over the top moves (that he can frequently pull off).
He's extremely opportunistic (I don't see this term as a negative and don't understand why others do)
He has the ability to score timely goals.
He has a top 5 wrist shot on the team.
He's young, not remotely a finished product, and should be expected to improve, but that improvement won't be linear, and doesn't preclude regression in some parts of his game.
Do you disagree with any of that?