I can't pick any of those options, because it's still too dependent on what happens with the CBA. Here are my options and my pick:
1A. NHL and PA sign new CBA before Oct. '05 - draft done by last year's standings + new lottery
1B. NHL and PA sign new CBA before Oct. '05 - draft class pushed forward to 2006
2A. NHL successfully declares impasse before Oct. '05 and imposes their own CBA, draft done immediately using last year's standings + new lottery
2B. NHL successfully declares impasse before Oct. '05 and imposes their own CBA, draft classed pushed ahead to 2006.
3. Lockout continues indefinitely, no draft... ?
Well, leaving aside the real possibility of #3, the debate should come down to the issue of how to fairly determine the draft order, and in either case I would prefer to push the draft to 2006, to ensure that the most needy teams still get the top picks. A new CBA is going to have a big effect on the competitive balance of the league, so last year's standings are not meaningful enough to use for this draft, IMO.
Thus, I choose the B options of pushing the draft class into 2006, to make sure the top weights in the lottery are truly property of the most needy teams. 1B has to be the better option there too, because can you imagine basing it on a the standings of a replacement league in 2B? Heck, I'd vote for Montreal to sign Mario Roberge and some other guys from the LNAH to try desperately to finish last.
But my best incentive for the
Cost Certainty Entry Draft is just to give the top weight in the lottery to the team with the lowest payroll, and work down the list in that order, regardless of position in the standings.