OT: Sorta, Why Oil Price Crash is Killing the NHL

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stator

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Apr 17, 2012
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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-22/why-oil-price-crash-killing-nhl

With oil prices dipping below $30 and dire forecasts for the already-low Canadian dollar, the National Hockey League (NHL) is taking a hit that would normally lead to a mass exodus of players to Russia - if the ruble wasn’t tanking as well.

The NHL’s revenue depends on the Canadian dollar, which in turn is on the downward slide thanks to the plummeting oil prices. As NHL revenues decline, player salaries go down, and roster cuts go up.

From a profit standpoint, Canadian teams will be hardest hit, and the worst is yet to come if predictions are anything to go by.
...

What does it have to do with hockey? Well, everything.

The NHL is comprised of 30 teams, with players from 20 different countries. Some 50 percent of these players are Canadian. Seven of the 30 NHL teams are in Canada, while 23 are in the U.S.

Canadian teams take in Canadian dollars through ticket sales, but they pay out the bulk of their expenses—salaries and tons of travel—in U.S. dollars.
...

Since 2005, the NHL has capped player salaries based on the league’s revenue. If league revenue takes a hit—and if Macquarie’s predictions come true for this year—the NHL could be looking at a significant salary cut.


Interesting, but just like all investment analysis, nobody has a crystal ball. If I was betting, I would be the NHL survives.
 

CrypTic

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Oct 2, 2013
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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-22/why-oil-price-crash-killing-nhl

With oil prices dipping below $30 and dire forecasts for the already-low Canadian dollar, the National Hockey League (NHL) is taking a hit that would normally lead to a mass exodus of players to Russia - if the ruble wasn’t tanking as well.

The NHL’s revenue depends on the Canadian dollar, which in turn is on the downward slide thanks to the plummeting oil prices. As NHL revenues decline, player salaries go down, and roster cuts go up.

From a profit standpoint, Canadian teams will be hardest hit, and the worst is yet to come if predictions are anything to go by.
...

What does it have to do with hockey? Well, everything.

The NHL is comprised of 30 teams, with players from 20 different countries. Some 50 percent of these players are Canadian. Seven of the 30 NHL teams are in Canada, while 23 are in the U.S.

Canadian teams take in Canadian dollars through ticket sales, but they pay out the bulk of their expenses—salaries and tons of travel—in U.S. dollars.
...

Since 2005, the NHL has capped player salaries based on the league’s revenue. If league revenue takes a hit—and if Macquarie’s predictions come true for this year—the NHL could be looking at a significant salary cut.


Interesting, but just like all investment analysis, nobody has a crystal ball. If I was betting, I would be the NHL survives.

It's interesting but not a good or sophisticated analysis IMO. That's not surprising bc it wasn't written for either currency/oil traders or hardcore hockey fans. It doesn't say much more than the salary cap is tied to team revenues so if the CAD falls relative to the USD, the salary cap could fall. (That's true but emphasis on "could" and it's not as straightforward as Tyler Durden makes it sound.) He doesn't even mention that the revenues from the Canadian teams make up about 30% of the HRR (which is the figure used to calculate the cap).

From a hockey POV, I think there is better analysis on the HF Business of Hockey forum but I guess that's to be expected bc it's mostly posts by hockey fans who are interested in the business aspects of hockey.

I guess it's good to let ppl who don't follow hockey much know about the situation.
 
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