Official Earthquake Thread

LadyStanley

Registered User
Sep 22, 2004
106,429
19,468
Sin City
http://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2016/06/22/hayward-fault-poses-the-highest-quake-danger/

98%?

The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities used information from recent earthquakes, improved mapping of active faults and a new model for estimating earthquake probabilities to come up with the predictions.

The group concluded that there is a 72 percent probability (or likelihood) of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or greater striking somewhere in the San Francisco Bay region before 2043.

For a 6.0 quake, the chances rose to near certainty at 98 percent.
 

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