Once again,
All the sites you discuss are products of my base theories.
Corsica uses my HD shot theory.
He breaks down my theory into low med high danger shots.
Which is a gross mistake.
I advised him to look at the line in the sand we’re teams are willing to modify offensive and defensive approach defined by reward.
HD shots that average 17.5% success
LD (Perimeter) shots avg 3.5% success.
Thier are 2 forms of analysis.
Analytical is a binary driven mechanism.
Looking for a single solution. Relying on regression to a norm.
Empirical is a goal to seek the peripheries of the norm.
The best 40 and worst 40 at any skill. Tied to video and repeatable base performance. What gm,s look for. + ve and negative difference makers.
Puck IQ was created by Woodguy and Gmoney
Late comers to Alan Mitchels blog site.
When I sought out the 40 worst and best relative to HD analysis.
Fenwick to shots 85-87%
Corsi to shots 78-82%
Misses to shots 66%
Corsi to fenwick 47%
Puck IQ is based on Dangerous Fenwick which is the worse way to define what GM,s needs.
But everyone is excited by using regression.
Magnus Carlson said that he can visualize 100 moves ahead when permutations exceeds 1 billion after 4 moves.
As a high functioning Autistic I could visualize 128000 pieces of data in up to 10 axis array graph.
From 08 to 12 my wife referred to it as the rainman, beautiful mind time from 10pm to 2-4pm. She did not see 05-08 when I was a single dad.
It bothered me that many did not understand my explanation of the ,mechanisms of my theories.
Not understanding most people do not have identical memory or an ability to visualize 10 array graphing.
Rob volman did understand this. He created a 2 axis version of my player 512 group situational usage 3D matrix based on comp, team, zone start excluding all ZS data based on a coaches decision to bench change a player on with or without pocession.
Ron volman,s 2 axis versions is 33% inaccurate and 80%+ inaccurate in empirical terms.
This is why I call out the individuals improperly using my theories.
You will find a request by me ( on HF boards and Alan Mitchell,s blog) to credit me with the use of my work, and not to profit on it.
A practice not Followed.
I am in the process of developing a web site, of all my proprietary theories.
That will include videos from individuals I had Discussions with about the theory to be presented.
Brayden Mcnabb’s mom “High danger shot theory”
Dallas stars former goalie coach. “Binary shot designation.”
A top 2 scout with WHL team “False eye affect- single event analysis”
“Belichek & me - baseline performance repeatability”
Yet to here from a strong & insightful blogger (Ron from Red Deer) who posted for first 2 years 05-06 & 06-07 on Alan Mitchell’s blog site.
