Ridley Simon
Registered User
Provided Burra is healthy, i’d like to see these lines:
8-92-43
18-19-77
65-20-10
13-83-25
I’d like 63 to be in there. Either for 10 or for 13.
Provided Burra is healthy, i’d like to see these lines:
8-92-43
18-19-77
65-20-10
13-83-25
I had it set to even strength in the link, and his corsi is even but his high danger chances still suck and his generated one's suck as well. Meaning maybe he's giving up as many shots as he gets when on ice, but the quality is night and day. If you change it to look at all data you can see he's allowing 2.55 xGA/60 and 1.62 xGF/60 while Orlov had 1.64 xGA/60 and 4.22 xGF/60. But that's with Orlov playing almost half an hour more of TOI and having an xGF of 4.22 and an xGA of 1.64. You can bump it to just ES, since Orpik has double Orlov's TOI for the PK and none of his PP time, and the numbers change to a more respectable 1.95 xGF/60 and 2.03 xGA/50 for Orpik and 2.43 xGF/60 and 1.09 xGA/60 for Orlov.
At ES Orlov is still a team worst 87 in PDO, while Brooks is compeltely average at 100. So Orpik's been better then we give him credit for, still awful in high danger chances, and Orlov has been insanely unlucky this series.
Contract year, and he’s going to get a six or a seven-year deal at $7 million-plus, is what he’s going to get,” predicted NHL Insider Bob McKenzie during a Friday morning radio hit on Edmonton’s TSN 1260. “That’s going to be the market value. And I don’t know if he’s going to get it from Washington. If he is, they’re going to probably have to move a few pieces around or what have you.
“And they do want to try to get him signed. And he wants to stay there. He loves it there and likes the guys and what have you. But he’s been taking a hometown discount for… quite aside from having a career offensive year, if you look at his salary – which is right around $4 million – he’s been one of the better bargains in the National Hockey League for the last three, four, five years. And so I don’t think he’s overly-inclined now to say, ‘Oh yeah, I could get $7 million-plus on the open market. I’ll be happy with something in the low 6s.’ I don’t think it’s going to cut that way this year.
“So whether that allows him to stay in Washington or allows him to move… his attitude has been a good one. It’s been, ‘You know what? I don’t have any control over any of that. We’ll sort that out. All I can do is play and play well,’ and that’s what his focus has been and it’s been good. The results have been there.”
Provided Burra is healthy, i’d like to see these lines:
8-92-43
18-19-77
65-20-10
13-83-25
Bob mckenzie on carlson and caps
Provided Burra is healthy, i’d like to see these lines:
8-92-43
18-19-77
65-20-10
13-83-25
Orlov played bad yesterday. At 5:50 his trying again to catch opposition RW by skating backward That play costed us OT goal in the first game.
Here is a nifty youtube of most of the Caps playoff OT goals.
@RandyHolt it appears you did not accurately channel TexMD.
His high danger chances? His partners have been healthy scratched. Is that factored in that he is covering for mistake prone young defensemen? He's not out there by himself
I have my own qualms with high danger scoring chances and how they are measured and so named, but i would agree that it is only fair to compare them 5on5, especially in such a small sample size. While PDO is generally billed as luck it is hard to accept that the quality of play does not factor into it somewhat. Sure Orlov's on-ice save percentage is weak, but maybe that is because he handed Panarin and Atkinson a 2 on 1, and allowed Panarin to beat him wide, and had a turnover in the defensive zone leading to a scoring chance and a goal. Those weren't lucky goals. Low on ice shooting percentages could be that he isn't taking the right shots at the right times to create actual scoring chances, maybe he is taking a lot of shots but they are going wide or getting blocked (some of this is luck but a lot of it is choice). It all factors in and is why looking at just the stats is very risky. And all of that can be variance issues because of such a small sample size as well.
He hasn't played all that badly in truth if you look at the totality of his game, but he has made a couple errors and they all ended up in the back of the net or into actually good scoring chances. Those stick out in people's minds.
Bob mckenzie on carlson and caps
Sounds like you shouldn't watch any more either.So the only game I didn't watch or follow is the best game so far?
A Willy snipe.
A Kuzy 4 point night.
A crazy Ovie celly.
Highlights looked good. Glad they didn't turtle but will it last?
That contract has so many red flags in it.
Career year in a contract year? Check.
Coming off of bargain contract? Check.
Relies heavily on teammates for points? Check.
He has been great in the Playoffs, as he was in the regular season. His past Playoff performances have been solid aswell. That being said i would pull the plug on 7-8 year deal worth 7+. It hurts at first but that's going to be a brutal contract in few years.
I mean if they can get Carlson down to an 8 year 6.25 deal I'd be all for it, GMBM has already put it out their he's not getting "market value" if he wants to stay here.
Will see what happens.
So, doesn't everyone rely on teammates for points? I never understand that as a critique. Carlson relies on Ovie, but Ovie can't get the one-timer off if Carlson doesn't make the pass. That's how it all works. And he's a proven playoff performer, not just this year, but consistently. What more do folks want from the guy? He's earned his payday.
You are the one who said he's been consistently strong in the playoffs. My point is, if you're the Caps, who gives a shit about RS stats. The playoffs are the mountain that needs climbing and a strong proven player is worth bucks. That's my view, anyway.Some do more than others.
I disagree with your point. There has been several guys on the Carlson spot in the PP and it's always been fine. Even better in the past without him. He's not really an integral part of the PP, IMO. He has a big shot but he misses the target a lot, and most teams are happier letting him take the shot rather than have Backstrom or Kuznetsov work half-wall or Ovechkin taking a shot from the other side. I wouldn't be shocked if the next coach (or any coach in the future) wanted to take him off the PP1 to cut his ice-time or get him on the ice more ES. That will result in his production dipping a lot.
Okay, if you feel that way: How many years in the past has Carlson been worth, let's say 7.5m AAV for example?
For me the answer is one, and it's this season. He's earned his payday for a while and i would gladly give it to him short-term. In my eyes 1 great year is just not worthy of being paid for 8 more. It's risky as hell. How many seasons like this he needs for that 7-8 year contract to be considered good? I'd say atleast 4. What about great? I'd say 6.
Is that realistic? I don't see it.