If you compare the two right now, in the short run Kopitar is the better player. Obviously he is more ready to be an NHL player, whereas J. Staal needs another year or two of seasoning, filling out and polish.
Down the road, if you look at projections, one might make a solid case for taking J. Staal of the two.
Kopitar could fizzle out, could face added pressure, could hurt himself, etc. I don't know if that is the case, but it could happen. He could also never reach his potential, or various other courses of his progression. Right now, Kopitar looks pretty good, and could keep improving and become a dominant player in the league.
But I wonder if both hit potential, which would be more important? Kopitar has more dynamic ability, and down the road might put up more points (he probably will) but will he have the physical defensive game Staal already shows signs of having some of?
and this cant happen to staal
it looks like some of you are trying to make a desperate case for staal. i dont know why because kopitar has clearly proven that right now he is the better player and prospect. and will probably be in the future to. i picked him #2 overall in my pool(malkin was #1 and Thornton#3). and everyone said i made a very good pick.
The problem with Staal's draft status is this... a good portion of it is based on the potential that he will develop into something of an Eric Staal clone in a similar amount of time. Certainly, he might, but that is a RISKY gamble. Especially for a team that needs to address other areas down the road. Now shifting him to the wing that even makes the pick more questionable. You don't take a guy who is projecting as a physical, point scoring (but defensively able) centerman and shift him to the wing... That could stunt his growth considerably. It could pay off, but it is a risk that is somewhat tricky... Maybe the Pens figure they can move the worst out of Malkin/Staal and Crosby for whatever position of need they want down the road.
From what I've read and seen of J. Staal so far, I think he has a chance to end up like Eric, but he still is a LONG way from that end. He might get there, or he might end up like a Patrick Stefan or worse. Hopefully he doesn't take nights off or just kinda coast when he should dominate. His numbers in Juniors this year should be telling about his eventual progression.