How do you project the upside of a prospect?

montreal

Go Habs Go
Mar 21, 2002
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You look at the player, strength/weaknesses, what are the main assets/skills. style of play, physical abilities (skating, speed, mobility, strength-upper and lower) how do they play at both ends, hockey sense. Factor in progression/development over time, level of competition.
 

VanW27

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Jun 9, 2003
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I'm kinda curious as to how that works?

First off its difficult to do. But for me i think u first look the players physical skills (skating, shooting, puck skills, etc), then it comes down to the mental aspects of the game ("hockey sense", work ethic, determination) allowing them to put all their physical skills to use.
 
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Jason MacIsaac

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Jan 13, 2004
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I think skating, hockey sense and work ethic are the three that you really need to watch. If a player has those three they will be able to improve on almost any area.
 

Chaos Giraffe

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Dec 1, 2004
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You can also definitely see some players whose game's won't translate over to the NHL level, unless they do some massive improvement.
 

JSmith81x

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Dec 20, 2002
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Prospect + NHL Rights of your favorite team = definite NHLer that others are secretly jealous of.

Prospect + NHL Rights of your favorite team's rival = overrated, will be hard-pressed to make the NHL at all.
 

Kaizer

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Apr 26, 2003
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I just imagine how kid's tools will work at higher level. When I look at prospect I think about will his tricks and tools work at higher level and how will it work...
 

Crosby=Gretzky

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Dec 7, 2004
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I just imagine how kid's tools will work at higher level. When I look at prospect I think about will his tricks and tools work at higher level and how will it work...

Exactly. It doesn't matter how much a player dominated the junior ranks if he doesn't pan out in the NHL.
 

johnny canuckistan

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Nov 14, 2006
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Prospect + NHL Rights of your favorite team = definite NHLer that others are secretly jealous of.

Prospect + NHL Rights of your favorite team's rival = overrated, will be hard-pressed to make the NHL at all.

That's catchy. However, don't you ever wake up in terror at the thought that your rival's prospects are all going to be gems, and your team's prospects will all be flops?

:dunno:
 

Slats432

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Jun 2, 2002
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There is more to it than that as well.

After you take a look at the raw skill, you have to see where they compare to their peer group.

What team are they playing on? What type of general skill set does the player have to interact with?

A player like Sam Gagner is much more impressive leading his team in scoring as opposed to being on a stacked team and fourth in scoring. (For example Dylan Hunter)

What league do they play in? Nikolai Kulemin at a point a game in the RSL is far more impressive than Sergei Kostitsyn's 33 points in 23 games for the London Knights.

So along with puck skills, skating skills, hockey sense, work ethic you have to take that and place it within the parameters of where they play and who they play with in their peer group.
 

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