So now that we are onto the Memorial Cup, would anyone care to offer some analysis on how they expect things to go? I mean, I really don't have a lot in way of reference for the Pats, Titan or Broncos but I would presume they are likely considered the 3rd seed, just based on casual analysis (and CHL rankings) but realistically when dealing with a championship of champions, it's anyone's game. Anyways, here's some analysis just based on CHL rankings, playoff performance and accomplishments, time zone issues and league seeding that should help things out.
The Regina Pats seem like a solid team that won't be a host team cakewalk. They they took the western champions Swift Current to 7 before getting knocked out in the first round (WHL seeding seems odd to me), so the team shouldn't be taken lightly. Especially given they are without a doubt the most rested team (but potentially the most rusted team) and will have likely had plenty of time to scout the competition. They aren't in the top 10 rankings but will have home advantage, which also counts for a lot. They finished 7th in their league (which compared to the OHL should put them in the same area as Owen Sound, London, Kingston and Niagara who all had generally strong showings in the playoffs) and likely would have gone further if they hadn't had to face Swift Current.
Speaking of the Swift Current Broncos, they went 7-7-6-6 who based on that logic would be the weakest team, but it doesn't seem that simple. While they had the easiest final series according to CHL rankings (facing the 7th ranked Silvertips), keep in mind (for reasons I don't quite understand with their playoff formatting) they also had to face the number 2 CHL ranked team and WHL leader Moose Jaw during the playoffs. This also means they had to conquer two of the CHL's top 10 teams to get the Memorial. They certainly had the hardest journey to get to the cup, going through league ranked 7, 1, 11 and 3. They finished 2nd in their league. They'll also however likely be the most worn out having played a grueling 26 games against top competition, although they will be likely busing to the game (being only 2 hours away from Regina) and may have a quasi-home ice advantage as well.
Then we have the Acadie-Bathurst Titan who appear to have steamrolled their league, going to games 6-4-4-6 in their playoff series. They finished off the 3rd ranked Armada despite being ranked 6th in the CHL rankings. They had to go through league ranked 15, 10, 6 and 1 in Chicoutimi, Sherbrooke, Victoriaville and Blainville-Boisbriand. They finished 2nd in their league and will be likely the next well rested next to the Pats. That said, they'll also suffer a 3 hour time zone shift which can mess you up, making your 7pm game into a 10pm game.
Then of course we have our Hamilton Bulldogs who went 5-5-5-6 as far as games, beating the top ranked Greyhounds which no one else can say and was certainly a tall task. The Dogs currently sit in 8th place in the current CHL rankings, which is lower then everyone else here but Regina. They had to go through league ranked 15, 9, 8 and 1 in Ottawa, Niagara, Kingston and Soo. We finished 2nd, but realistically 3rd due to Sarnia having more points. We also are likely the 3rd most well rested team, but given we only had to play one more game to the Titan's 20 which shouldn't be substantial. That said, the Bulldogs will suffer a two hour time zone change on the flight over.
Hope this helps.
Thanks for the info.
I really don't know what to make of the Memorial Cup matchup. I've been looking up rosters and recognize a few names on each team, just like many would with ours. I look at our depth and would like to think it would be tough for others to match the depth but I'm sure other teams also have good depth and their fans may not understand our depth as well. One thing we do have is a very veteran defence - all have turned age 20 (Lemcke is 21).
Since I've been looking up stats and info on and off ever since we reached the OHL finals, I figured it would be helpful if we had some sort of quick reference about each team. Feel free to provide any input. It's probably safe to say that we all aren't nearly as familiar about our 3 CHL opponents. This will help provide a glimpse of visual insight.
Remember that when you click the playoff stats, you can easily switch to their regular season stats from the drop down menu. For notable players, I only looked up the top 100 within Central Scouting rankings.
Regina Pats
Season record: 40-25-6-1 (72 games), 245 GF, 235 GA
Playoff record: 3-4 (7 games), 20 GF, 21 GA
NHL affiliated players: 7 (4 forwards, 3 defence)
Forwards: Sam Steal (ANA, round 1, #30), Jake Leschyshyn (VGK, round 2, #62), Nick Henry (COL, round 4, #94), Jesse Gabrielle (BOS, round 4, #103)
Defence: Libor Hajek (TB, round 2, #37), Josh Mahura (ANA, round 3, #85), Cale Fleury (MTL, round 3, #87)
Other Notables:
Full roster:
WHL Network
Playoff stats:
WHL Network
Acadie-Bathurst Titan
Season record: 43-15-8-2 (68 games), 270 GF, 183 GA
Playoff record: 16-4 (20 games), 73 GF, 44 GA
NHL affiliated players: 4 (3 forwards, 1 goalie)
Forwards: German Rubstov (PHI, round 1, #22), Antoine Morand (ANA, round 2, #60), Jeffrey Truchon-Viel (SJ, free agent signing)
Goalies: Evan Fitzpatrick (STL, round 2, #59)
Other notables: Noah Dobson (ranked #5 by Central Scouting)
Full roster:
QMJHL – Includes live game day coverage, audio and video clips, exclusive stories, game tickets, stats, standings, schedules and features.
Playoff stats:
QMJHL – Includes live game day coverage, audio and video clips, exclusive stories, game tickets, stats, standings, schedules and features.
Hamilton Bulldogs
Season record: 43-18-4-3 (68 games), 252 GF, 207 GA
Playoff record: 16-5 (21 games), 91 GF, 59 GA
NHL affiliated players: 9 (6 forwards, 2 defence, 1 goalie)
Forwards: Robert Thomas (STL, round 1, #20), Mackenzie Entwistle (ARI, round 3, #69), Will Bitten (MTL, round 3, #70), Matthew Strome (PHI, round 4, #106), Marian Studenic (NJ, round 5, #143), Nicholas Caamano (DAL, round 5, #146)
Defence: Riley Stillman (FLA, round 4, #114), Nicholas Mattinen (TOR, round 6, #179)
Goalies: Kaden Fulcher (DET, free agent signing)
Other notables: Arthur Kaliyev (#4 in CHL regular season rookie goals, #2 among 16 year olds)
Full roster:
Ontario Hockey League – Official Site of the Ontario Hockey League
Playoff stats:
Ontario Hockey League – Official Site of the Ontario Hockey League
Swift Current Broncos
Season record: 48-17-5-2 (72 games), 284 GF, 213 GA
Playoff record: 16-10 (26 games), 77 GF, 66 GA
NHL affiliated players: 9 (6 forwards, 2 defence, 1 goalie)
Forwards: Aleksi Heponiemi (FLA, round 2, #40), Tyler Steenbergen (ARI, round 5 #128), Beck Malenstyn (WSH, round 5, #145), Georgio Estephan (BUF, round 6, #152), Matteo Gennaro (WPG. round 7, #203), Glenn Gawdin (CGY, free agent signing)
Defence: Josh Anderson (COL, round 3, #71), Colby Sissons (NJ free agent signing)
Goalies: Stuart Skinner (EDM, round 3, #78)
Other notables:
Full roster:
WHL Network
Playoff stats:
WHL Network
*Edit: I'm not sure why my links came out the way they did (I only copy and pasted the link address). However they should still take you to the right page.