The value of draft picks drop quickly after the second round. A fourth rounder isn't really worth much more than a fifth/sixth round pick.
I want a high third round pick or better to trade Comeau, if he's at 30+ point pace at trade deadline.
This is where I disagree with this board. I would say Makar is untouchable for everything but a undisputed number 1D which is what OEL is. Makar was a high risk fourth overall in a very weak draft year, after watching him play I don’t see a franchise defenseman. I’d be happy to be wrong about that but it’s just how I see it.
To win a cup a number 1D is the most important piece, look at the last 20 years of Stanley cup finalists, Pittsburgh (Crosby and Malkin which is an obvious outlier and shouldn’t be used as a benchmark) and Carolina (Ward beastmode) are the only teams to win it without a great 1D. Looking at the finialists you’ll see Keith, Doughty, Pronger, Chara, Subban/Josi, Lidstrom, McDonough, Letang, Niedermeyer, Vlassic/Burns, etc. Can Makar really reach this level? He’s our best bet to be the guy but I don’t see a franchise guy in him, he could be but it’s very far from likely. Then look at the cup finalists D age, It takes a long time to become a cup caliber D, there is only a few exceptions like Doughty that can be effective in their early twenties. Hell Keith won his first cup at a later age than OEL is right now, and is still going as a 1D at 34 years’ old. Even if Makar his ceiling, we’d have to wait 6 years for him to be good enough defensively to win a cup, that’s just too long in my opinion. OEL is my favourite D in the league so I’m quite biased, but I don’t think we’ve seen his peak yet, remember Lidstrom didn’t win his first Norris until he was 4 years older than OEL currently is. This guy has a lot left in the tank and I would easily trade Makar for him.
This isn’t even considering a defence built around Barrie, Girard, and Makar just won’t work. I can’t recall a defence that small and poor defensively ever winning a cup. Great defenseman but they just don’t go well together.
The last time a number 1 LHD (the bane of Colorado’s existence lately) was available was probably Suter, these guys just don’t become available often. If OEL is truly on the table I say go for it.
To put it into perspective many people here wanted Hanifin (a prospect that probably would have gone 1st overall in the 2017 draft and is much safer than Makar) for Duchene (a player that impacts a game much less than OEL). In fact, the frustration was very evident with GM Francis, many posters here criticized his inability to fix the forward corps in Carolina. This is the same situation however I’d argue Colorado’s defence has been a much bigger problem lately than Carolina’s forwards.
OEL is where Duchene is. Been on bad teams most of his career. I would assume he would want to go to a team that can contend for Cups if he had a choice. Avs aren't going to be that team in the coming two seasons.
This is where I disagree with this board. I would say Makar is untouchable for everything but a undisputed number 1D which is what OEL is. Makar was a high risk fourth overall in a very weak draft year, after watching him play I don’t see a franchise defenseman. I’d be happy to be wrong about that but it’s just how I see it.
To win a cup a number 1D is the most important piece, look at the last 20 years of Stanley cup finalists, Pittsburgh (Crosby and Malkin which is an obvious outlier and shouldn’t be used as a benchmark) and Carolina (Ward beastmode) are the only teams to win it without a great 1D. Looking at the finialists you’ll see Keith, Doughty, Pronger, Chara, Subban/Josi, Lidstrom, McDonough, Letang, Niedermeyer, Vlassic/Burns, etc. Can Makar really reach this level? He’s our best bet to be the guy but I don’t see a franchise guy in him, he could be but it’s very far from likely. Then look at the cup finalists D age, It takes a long time to become a cup caliber D, there is only a few exceptions like Doughty that can be effective in their early twenties. Hell Keith won his first cup at a later age than OEL is right now, and is still going as a 1D at 34 years’ old. Even if Makar his ceiling, we’d have to wait 6 years for him to be good enough defensively to win a cup, that’s just too long in my opinion. OEL is my favourite D in the league so I’m quite biased, but I don’t think we’ve seen his peak yet, remember Lidstrom didn’t win his first Norris until he was 4 years older than OEL currently is. This guy has a lot left in the tank and I would easily trade Makar for him.
This isn’t even considering a defence built around Barrie, Girard, and Makar just won’t work. I can’t recall a defence that small and poor defensively ever winning a cup. Great defenseman but they just don’t go well together.
The last time a number 1 LHD (the bane of Colorado’s existence lately) was available was probably Suter, these guys just don’t become available often. If OEL is truly on the table I say go for it.
To put it into perspective many people here wanted Hanifin (a prospect that probably would have gone 1st overall in the 2017 draft and is much safer than Makar) for Duchene (a player that impacts a game much less than OEL). In fact, the frustration was very evident with GM Francis, many posters here criticized his inability to fix the forward corps in Carolina. This is the same situation however I’d argue Colorado’s defence has been a much bigger problem lately than Carolina’s forwards.
@Eltuna;
Welcome to hfboards . You see we are quite a combatitive bunch. Especially after all that has happened last season. Don't let it discourage you from posting your opinion.
Now let me adress your thoughts:
First of all I would prefer to stay the course and patiently rebuild around our young core of Mac, Rantanen,etc...
That said, speeding it up via making a splash like you suggest might have its merits. Atleast I guess MacKinnon or Landeskog would be all for it. I don't think we could pull off building a contending team that way for the longrun but there is no guarantee we will be able to do that via staying patient and building for the longterm either. Especially if we don't nail our draft picks.
So lets agree to disagree philosophically on the teambuilding aspect in general.
There is one flaw I think you are overlooking in your plan. And it is a gigantic one.
You are not wrong in believing that OEL and Duchene are in a somewhat similar spot and both will probably not hit UFA and re-sign with the team they get traded to. Just one problem.
Duchene would never have re-signed in Arizona. He stated that he was sick of rebuilding and finally wanted to win. That is his whole justification for demanding a trade from the Avs. And it makes sense.
Arizona does not want to trade OEL. The only reason for him potentially being available is that he probably is also sick of losing and does not want to wait for yet another bunch of prospects to arrive and mature.
So that is why he would not re-sign and therefore be available in the first place.
Knowing all that it would be enormously stupid for the Avs to trade for OEL unless they are 100 % sure that he will sign a reasonable contract extension with them. But that can not happen until next July and as I said, it just makes 0 sense from OELs perspective to want to get out of Arizona just to end up with another bottom feeder that is rebuilding and just traded their 2nd best player for picks and prospects...
If I am OEL I would make it crystal clear to everyone that is listening, that I am sick of losing and want to win now. Requesting a trade out of Arizona just to sign an extension with a franchise that is in the same rebuilding scenario would be spitting in the face of every Arizona fan basically.
There is no way that happens IMO...
OEL will go to Dallas, Toronto or a similar situation if he ever gets traded. Not to the only team that arguably was worse than the Yotes over the last couple of years...
Wow. I couldn't dis-agree with you more.
I seriously question people's hockey IQ. Watching Makar he is far superior to the players he goes against. He is a man among boys. He makes the game look simple and slows it down. That is what great players do. It's effortless. And the best thing is he is getting better every game. If he isn't a player like Karlsson who takes over games I will be surprised.
And we already have a #1 Dman. His name is Erik Johnson. He is playing close to 30 minutes a game. If he was playing in a bigger market everyone would be talking about him.
A pairing of Johnson / Makar has the potential to be the best pairing in the league.
And simply put to even suggest trading Makar for OEL is absurd.
Wow. I couldn't dis-agree with you more.
I seriously question people's hockey IQ. Watching Makar he is far superior to the players he goes against. He is a man among boys. He makes the game look simple and slows it down. That is what great players do. It's effortless. And the best thing is he is getting better every game. If he isn't a player like Karlsson who takes over games I will be surprised.
And we already have a #1 Dman. His name is Erik Johnson. He is playing close to 30 minutes a game. If he was playing in a bigger market everyone would be talking about him.
A pairing of Johnson / Makar has the potential to be the best pairing in the league.
And simply put to even suggest trading Makar for OEL is absurd.
I disagree on both regards...Sakic won't trade Comeau unless he plans of getting rid of Bednar. Bednar likes Comeau and that would be a pretty ****ty thing to do to the coach since Comeau won't return anything remotely interesting.
What does this mean? I can go to that 6th round and mention all the players who busted out. Every SINGLE team always finds a hidden gem in the later rounds. I respect your opinion about keeping picks and doing all of that jazz, but you say that optimism is delusion no? If that's the case, isn't it deluded to think Avs are going to draft Bratt's every 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th round?
He's a 6th, my bad
Totally agree!
AVs are not committing approx. $8M per for the next 5 years or trading a high end prospect when they're not challenging from the Cup. When OEL contract expires, they'll also need to extend many of the young players.
@Eltuna;
Welcome to hfboards . You see we are quite a combatitive bunch. Especially after all that has happened last season. Don't let it discourage you from posting your opinion.
Now let me adress your thoughts:
First of all I would prefer to stay the course and patiently rebuild around our young core of Mac, Rantanen,etc...
That said, speeding it up via making a splash like you suggest might have its merits. Atleast I guess MacKinnon or Landeskog would be all for it. I don't think we could pull off building a contending team that way for the longrun but there is no guarantee we will be able to do that via staying patient and building for the longterm either. Especially if we don't nail our draft picks.
So lets agree to disagree philosophically on the teambuilding aspect in general.
There is one flaw I think you are overlooking in your plan. And it is a gigantic one.
You are not wrong in believing that OEL and Duchene are in a somewhat similar spot and both will probably not hit UFA and re-sign with the team they get traded to. Just one problem.
Duchene would never have re-signed in Arizona. He stated that he was sick of rebuilding and finally wanted to win. That is his whole justification for demanding a trade from the Avs. And it makes sense.
Arizona does not want to trade OEL. The only reason for him potentially being available is that he probably is also sick of losing and does not want to wait for yet another bunch of prospects to arrive and mature.
So that is why he would not re-sign and therefore be available in the first place.
Knowing all that it would be enormously stupid for the Avs to trade for OEL unless they are 100 % sure that he will sign a reasonable contract extension with them. But that can not happen until next July and as I said, it just makes 0 sense from OELs perspective to want to get out of Arizona just to end up with another bottom feeder that is rebuilding and just traded their 2nd best player for picks and prospects...
If I am OEL I would make it crystal clear to everyone that is listening, that I am sick of losing and want to win now. Requesting a trade out of Arizona just to sign an extension with a franchise that is in the same rebuilding scenario would be spitting in the face of every Arizona fan basically.
There is no way that happens IMO...
OEL will go to Dallas, Toronto or a similar situation if he ever gets traded. Not to the only team that arguably was worse than the Yotes over the last couple of years...
What does this mean? I can go to that 6th round and mention all the players who busted out. Every SINGLE team always finds a hidden gem in the later rounds. I respect your opinion about keeping picks and doing all of that jazz, but you say that optimism is delusion no? If that's the case, isn't it deluded to think Avs are going to draft Bratt's every 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th round?
Makar is a lot better than ur giving him credit for . The kid will be better that OEL in the very near future kid is a studMakar is not Karlsson and he very likely never will be. He was a 4th in a poor draft year and is not having the college career so far to suggest he’s much better than everybody thought. Not that he’s been bad, he’s actually been playing well, but Heiskanen has been better this year and mcavoy was better last year. If Makar is Karlsson I don’t know what those guys are. EJ is playing okay as a 1D on a bad defence but on a cup champion EJ would not be the best defenceman. Also, both Makar and EJ are RHD, I know Makar said he likes the left side but in the nhl coaches really don’t like that. It’s also important to remember that by the time Makar becomes a 1D (if he ever does) EJ will not be good enough to be on a top pairing anymore. His game doesn’t look like one to me that will age well.
How are you guys watching Makar?Wow. I couldn't dis-agree with you more.
I seriously question people's hockey IQ. Watching Makar he is far superior to the players he goes against. He is a man among boys. He makes the game look simple and slows it down. That is what great players do. It's effortless. And the best thing is he is getting better every game. If he isn't a player like Karlsson who takes over games I will be surprised.
And we already have a #1 Dman. His name is Erik Johnson. He is playing close to 30 minutes a game. If he was playing in a bigger market everyone would be talking about him.
A pairing of Johnson / Makar has the potential to be the best pairing in the league.
And simply put to even suggest trading Makar for OEL is absurd.
Makar is a lot better than ur giving him credit for . The kid will be better that OEL in the very near future kid is a stud
Makar is a lot better than ur giving him credit for . The kid will be better that OEL in the very near future kid is a stud
I wouldn't call Makar untouchable. But it's a very small list of players that I'm willing to move Makar for.
Werenski, Provorov, Parayko, Hedman, and Pietrangelo.
The rest are either to risky(Karlsson, Ekblad, OEL, Doughty), too old(Keith, Burns, Suter) and the rest I'd quite frankly just rather take my chances on Makar being better then them(Jones, McAvoy, Slavin, Subban, etc.)