It looks very bleak right now for the Flames, but I wouldn't count them out officially until the math no longer works. And the math soon will no longer work.
Anaheim, Dallas and Calgary all have 73 GP. LA, Colorado and St. Louis all have one game in hand with 72 GP.
LA and Dallas both have a fairly difficult schedule to close their seasons. If they both win only 5 of their remaining games, they will both finish at 94 points. Calgary only has 33 ROWs, and LA has 37 ROWs (Dallas has 34), which is the first tie breaker after points. Calgary has to finish with more points than LA, it's their only hope because if LA wins 5 of their last 10 in regulation or OT that pretty much eliminates Calgary unless Calgary goes 7-1-1 to finish the season.
Then we get to the Blues.
St. Louis is at 36 ROWs and they have an easy to medium schedule to finish...half their games are against weaker teams and the other half are against good teams. They need 6 ROWs in their last 10 to potentially knock out LA and finish with 95 points. As I said earlier, they are unpredictable (because of their goaltending imo).
Dallas with their schedule will continue to fade....Id be surprised if they even temporarily made it back into a playoff spot.
I'd say the Flames are in 2-regulation loss territory; Sportrac has them down to a 3.5% chance of making it after today's games.
Funny how the blues thought it was done and pretty much became a seller at the TDL. How embarrassing is that for Calgary? What a joke of a team.